Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1035 AM CST FRI NOV 24 2000

ZONE UPDATE WAS SENT AT 1020 AM FOR SEVERAL REASONS. FIRST AND
FOREMOST...WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED OVER MUCH OF THE CWFA AS THE SURFACE
LOW CENTER GETS CLOSER. EXCEPTION IS THE NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES
/PARTICULARLY THE DELTA COUNTIES/ WHERE WINDS ARE STILL HOWLING UP
TO 40 MPH AT KGWO AND BOLIVAR COUNTY HAS REPORTED POWER LINES DOWN
FROM GRADIENT WINDS. THESE WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
MAINTAINED WIND ADVISORIES FOR AREA LAKES IN THESE ZONES UNTIL 4 PM
WHILE CANCELLING IT ELSEWHERE. ALSO ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPS AND WIND
DIRECTIONS BASED ON ORIENTATION OF WARM FRONT. DID NOT TOUCH
POPS...HEAVY RAIN WORDING...SEVERE STORM WORDING...OR FLASH FLOOD
WATCH.

.JAN...
AR...WIND ADVISORY FOR AREA LAKES ZONES 074-075.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH ZONES 074-075.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ZONES 007>009-015-016-023>026.
MS...WIN?D ADVISORY FOR AREA LAKES ZONES 018-019-025>039.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH ZONES 018-019-025>029-034>036-040>042-047-053-
     059>061.
06

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074
-242100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
600 AM CST FRI NOV 24 2000

...THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM JONESVILLE LOUISIANA...TO FAYETTE...TO PRENTISS ..TO LAUREL
(GENERALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 84). THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL
BE DAMAGING WIND. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD FROM THE
PLAINS AND THE MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE JET DYNAMICS INCREASE...THE
APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE ADDED FOCUS FOR STRONG
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

IN OTHER AREAS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WIND. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AS THIS SITUATION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP.

...FLOODING...
FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
WEST AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE PONDING ON ROADS...AND FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS AND CREEKS.

WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINS HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
OVERNIGHT...AND THE EXTENSIVE RAIN SHIELD EXTENDS BACK INTO EASTERN
TEXAS THIS MORNING. MID AND UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL BE FAVORABLE THROUGH
MIDDAY FOR CONTINUED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS IN THE NORTH. AN
APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL ALSO INCREASE CONVECTION ACROSS THE
SOUTH THIS MORNING AND CARRY ON INTO THE AFTERNOON. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN A VERY SHORT
TIME. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL DECREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. ONCE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
LESSENS THE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT AND SHIFT TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL POSE THE GREATEST THREAT
TO BOATERS AND MOTORISTS. DRIVERS OF VANS...TRAILERS...CAMPERS AND
OTHER HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION UNDER
THESE WINDY CQONDITIONS.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.