Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1003 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

13Z SFC ANALYSIS INDICATED LOW PRESSURE OVR LAKE HURON WITH A CDFNT
EXTENDING WWD ACROSS LWR MI.  A BOUNDARY WAS ALSO EVIDENT EXTENDING
FROM THE TSRA OVR LAKE ERIE BACK ACROSS NRN IN.  HIGHER SFC
DEWPOINTS WERE POOLING ALONG THIS FEATURE. WV IMAGERY SHOWED PLENTY
OF ENERGY DROPPING ACROSS THE LAKES REGION AND VISIBLE IMAGERY
SHOWED CLEARING SKIES ACROSS FA.

WITH PLENTY OF SS...XPCT FA TO DESTABLIZE RAPIDLY REACHING CAPES OF
2000-3000 J/KG BY MID AFTERNOON.  VORT DROPPING IN SHOULD ACTIVATE
THE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN IN AND LAKE ERIE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT SUGGEST THE STORMS WL MOVE RAPIDLY SEWD
ACROSS FA.  WITH H5 WINDS AROUND 50 KTS AND DELTA THETA-E VALUES
VERY HIGH...WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL IS HIGH TODAY.  ALSO...WETBULB
ZERO VALUES SUGGEST THAN LARGE HAIL WL BE POSSIBLE.

WL INCREASE POPS FROM PREVIOUS FCST WHICH WL TAKE CMH AREA INTO THE
LIKELY CATEGORY.

.ILN...NONE.

WILKINSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
932 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0932 AM    4 SE ADA                  OH   .75 INCH HAIL
07/14/00   HARDIN                         REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-142000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1020 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FROM THE NORTHWEST.  THIS FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH A MOIST
AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION.  AN
ADDITIONAL INGREDIENT WILL BE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY THAT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE COMBINATION OF
THESE WEATHER INGREDIENTS WILL PRODUCE THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND PUSH INTO THE MIAMI AND
WHITEWATER VALLEYS BY MID AFTERNOON.  THE STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
PUSH INTO THE CINCINNATI AND COLUMBUS AREAS BY LATE AFTERNOON AND
THEN INTO THE PORTSMOUTH AREA TOWARD EVENING.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

WILKINSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
135 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0128 PM    4 SE ADA                  OH   .75 INCH HAIL
07/14/00   HARDIN                         REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
932 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0932 AM    4 SE ADA                  OH   .75 INCH HAIL
07/14/00   HARDIN                         REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.