Severe Thunderstorm Warning 120, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
259 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING CLOUD TOPS BEGINNING TO COOL ALONG THE
OHIO RIVER EAST OF CINCINNATI.  KILN SHOWING CELLS BEGINNING TO
BECOME MORE ORGANIZE.  VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES SKIES CLEARING
ACROSS NORTHERN IN/IL SOUTH OF COLD FRONT.

MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT.  BUT PREFER THE ETA AS IT SEEMS TO
HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON CURRENT SURFACE FEATURES AND CLOUD COVER.
IT ALSO IS SLOWER IN PUSHING FRONT AND DRIER AIR OUT OF FA.  IT
APPEARS THAT CONVECTION WILL BE MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT AS WEST TO EAST LOW LEVEL JET SETS UP OVER KY WHICH
WILL CREATE DEEP CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER.  THE MAIN THREAT
EVE/OVERNIGHT WILL BE FLOOD WITH PWS ABOVE 2 INCHES AND MEAN STORM
MOTION INDICATING SLOW PROPAGATING AND TRAINING ECHOS POSSIBLE.
WILL GO CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE
AND EVEN SOME FLOODING.  AT THE MOMENT WILL HOLD OFF ON FFA TO SEE
WHERE CONVECTION SETS UP AND THEN ISSUE IF NECESSARY.  AS FAR AS
SEVER WET BULB ZERO IS ABOVE 12 KFT...HOWEVER WITH LARGE CAPES
DOWNBURT POTENTIAL DOES EXIST.  WILL KEEP MENTION OF AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS FOR TUESDAY ACROSS THE SOUTH AS COLD FRONT AND
INSTABILITY IS SLOW TO MOVE SOUTH OF FA.

AS FOR TEMP WENT A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER FOR HIGHS AS NGM SEEMS A
LITTLE TO FAST WITH TAKING WARM FRONT SOU}TH.

MISILN SENT TO ALL.

.ILN...NONE.
 TIPTON

CLELSRILN ALL
TTAA00 KILN DDHHMM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...RETRANSMITTED FOR SPC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
756 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0748 PM    FOSTER                    KY   1 INCH HAIL
07/10/00   PENDLETON                      REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.