Severe Thunderstorm Warning 136, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
233 PM MDT THU JUN 29 2000

...LOCATION AND CHANCE FOR STORMS MAIN CHALLENGE THIS PACKAGE...

THE DRYLINE HAS MOVED EAST OF KAKO AND EXTENDED FROM NEAR LIMON TO
THE FAR EASTERN CORNER OF COLORADO AT 20Z. WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES HAVE SLOWED CONVECTION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT EXPECT
INTENSITY AND COVERAGE OF STORMS TO INCREASE AS STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING CONTINUES AND AS STORMS MOVE INTO VERY WARM AND MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW. EXPECT CAPES TO EXCEED 3000 J/KG AND LIFTED INDICES
TO DROP TO BETWEEN -8 AND -10 OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO BY 00Z.

HAVE CHOSEN THE MESO ETA AS THE MODEL OF CHOICE. THE OTHER NCEP
MODELS NOT HANDLING THE RESOLUTION OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FIELDS
AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION AS WELL AS THE MESO ETA. EXPECT BOUNDARY
TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WITH BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS
OVER FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...EXPECT RIDGING AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT
TO LIMIT CONVECTION. CHANCES FOR STORMS AFTER SATURDAY ARE EVEN LOWER
AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA.

.GLD...NONE.

SKIPPER

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-300300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
306 PM MDT THU JUN 29 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN
COLORADO AND NORTHWEST KANSAS...

THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALREADY FORMING IN EASTERN COLORADO
TO BECOME SEVERE WILL INCREASE AS THESE STORMS MOVE INTO THE VERY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ALONG THE COLORADO AND KANSAS
BORDER. AS A RESULT...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN COLORADO
AND NORTHWEST KANSAS. INCLUDED IN THIS WATCH ARE YUMA...KIT CARSON
AND CHEYENNE COUNTIES IN COLORADO.  ALSO INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE...
RAWLINS...DECATUR...NORTON...SHERMAN...THOMAS...SHERIDAN...GRAHAM...
WALLACE...LOGAN...GOVE...GREELEY AND WICHITA COUNTIES IN KANSAS.

THIS WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 900 PM MDT (1000 PM CDT). LARGE HAIL
UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

LOCKHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
441 PM MDT THU JUN 29 2000

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....
)
0435 PM    1 N ST FRANCIS            KS   .88 INCH HAIL
06/29/00   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

N

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
502 PM MDT THU JUN 29 2000

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0443 PM    2 S WHEELER               KS   .88 INCH HAIL
06/29/00   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY OFF-DUTY
                                          NWS EMPLOYEE.

0452 PM    4 SW CHEYENNE WELLS       CO   .75 INCH HAIL
06/29/00   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

0500 PM    WHEELER                   KS   1 INCH HAIL
06/29/00   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY STORM
                        >                  SPOTTER.

0502 PM    5 E WHEELER               KS   1 INCH HAIL
06/29/00   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

N

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
516 PM MDT THU JUN 29 2000

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0505 PM    BIRD CITY                 KS   1 INCH HAIL
06/29/00   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

0507 PM    BIRD CITY                 KS   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/29/00   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

N

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-300114-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
614 PM MDT THU JUN 29 2000

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EASTERN COLORADO UNTIL 11 PM MDT
(MIDNIGHT CDT)
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 513 HAS EXPIRED FOR FAR SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...

A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN KIT
CARSON AND CHEYENNE COUNTIES IN COLORADO...AND THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES IN KANSAS...GREELEY...RAWLINS...THOMAS...LOGAN...
WICHITA....DECATUR...SHERIDAN...GOVE...NORTON AND GRAHAM. THIS WATCH
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT (MIDNIGHT CDT).

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN THE TRI-
STATE AREA ALLOWING THE VARIOUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES TO BE
CANCELLED OR ALLOWED TO EXPIRE:

IN NEBRASKA...DUNDY...HITCHCOCK...AND RED WILLOW COUNTIES.
IN COLORADO...YUMA...AND WESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES.
IN KANSAS...CHEYENNE...WALLACE...AND SHERMAN COUNTIES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

COZ091-092-300215-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
711 PM MDT THU JUN 29 2000

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR EASTERN KIT CARSON AND CHEYENNE
COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF EASTERN COLORADO. ALTHOUGH
SOME WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...THEY ARE NO
LONGER EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EASTERN KIT CARSON AND CHEYENNE COUNTIES
OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

BARKER