Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Hastings, NE

SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
133 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2000

...MAIN CONCERN IS PRECIP THIS EVENING...

NEXT DISTURBANCE ROLLING NORTHEAST TODAY FROM SW KS SHOWING SHOWER
ACTIVITY WITH A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER.  EXPECT INTENSITY TO INCREASE
AS DAY GOES ALONG INTO THIS EVENING AS LOWER ATMOSPHERE OVER NORTHERN
AND EASTERN KS DESTABLIZES WITH HEATING...ESPECIALLY IN CLEAR AREAS.
MOISTURE NO LONGER A PROBLEM AS MOST OF LOWER ATMOSPHERE WELL
SATURATED.  MOISTURE TRANSPORT LESS FAVORABLE AS 85H WINDS HAVE
BECOME A BIT MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER BIG MCS LAST NIGHT/THIS
MORNING.  A SECONDARY VORT MAX STRETCHED BACK TO INTO NM/AZ WILL ALSO
MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND KEEP PRECIP GOING IN AT LEAST
SOUTHEAST CWA THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE NEAR GLD SHOULD FINALLY RIDE EAST
TONIGHT ALONG THE WARM FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS THE NE/KS BORDER.  SVR
WEATHER DEFINITE POSSIBILITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
AHEAD OF LOW. ONCE THE SECOND DISTURBANCE CLEARS THE AREA SATURDAY
MORNING EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND WARMER TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THEREFORE...TONIGHT WILL PROBABLY WORD LIKELYS IN SOUTH AND EAST
ZONES WITH SLIGHTLY LESS CHANCES NW.  WILL OF COURSE HAVE TO DEAL
WITH ON GOING AT PRESS TIME.  LOW TEMPS CLOSER TO COOLER FAN.

SATURDAY...LEANING TOWARD SHOWERS IN MORNING EAST ZONES. OTHERWISE
BECOMING PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS NEAR
GUIDANCE.

REST OF THE PERIOD ZONAL FLOW WITH WARMING TEMPS AND DRY.  HOWEVER
WILL INTRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH FRONT
AND MOISTURE IN THE AREA AND REMOVE WORDING FOR MONDAY. TEMPS TO
REMAIN SEASONABLE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE.

.GID...NONE.

KLUCK

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-270030-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK - SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
536 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2000

...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 9 PM FOR PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS INCLUDING SMITH...OSBORNE...JEWELL AND MITCHELL COUNTIES.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING.  INITIALLY...DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WEST OF A LINE FROM HOLDREGE
TO PLAINVILLE.

IF THE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER THE RISK OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE
INTO NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AS THE STORMS APPROACH A STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PARKED ACROSS THE AREA.  AT THEIR CURRENT RATE OF
MOVEMENT...THE STORMS WOULD REACH THE TORNADO WATCH AREA BETWEEN 7
AND 8 PM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES...WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

DROZD

KSZ005>007-017>019-270300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
723 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
UNTIL 1 AM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
ROOKS...PHILLIPS...SMITH...OSBORNE...JEWELL AND MITCHELL.  THIS
REPLACES THE TORNADO WATCH WHICH WAS IN EFFECT EARLIER FROM SMITH
CENTER AND OSBORNE EASTWARD.

ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS HAVE BECOME THE PRIMARY
THREAT...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DROZD