Severe Thunderstorm Warning 370, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO ADD THE AVIATION DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
650 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2000

AVIATION DISCUSSION...
EXPECT TO SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION...THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS MIDNIGHT APPROACHES.
OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
THIS EVENING.  CEILINGS WILL DETERIORATE TO GENERAL MVFR CATEGORY
AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS PRECIPITATION BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD.  58

300 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2000 PUBLIC FORECAST DISCUSSION...
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERY...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED
NEAR BIG SPRING WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE NEAR DALLAS.  AS THE SHORTWAVE
EXITS EAST...CLOUDS WILL THIN OUT A BIT FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN
SURFACE HEATING...WHICH SHOULD ENHANCE CONVECTION LATER TODAY.  DEEP
MOISTURE IN VERTICAL SUGGEST RAINFALL POTENTIAL COULD BE HEAVY OVER
LARGE PORTION OF N CNTRL TX.  BY NIGHTFALL...PRECIPITATION COULD
INTENSIFY GIVEN THE TROPICAL NATURE OF THE SYSTEM.

MANY WRN COUNTIES RECEIVED CONSIDERABLE RAINFALL DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS.  SOILS ACROSS MUCH OF THE RED RIVER COUNTIES ARE STILL MOIST
FROM THE MEMORIAL WEEKEND...ACCORDING TO LATEST FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE.  AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE NECESSARY FOR
MUCH OF N CNTRL TX TONIGHT...AND WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BE REDEFINED
FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THIS SLOW-MOVING SYSTEM SLIDES
EAST.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...WELL KEEP POPS OVER THE ERN ZONES TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE TRAILING EDGE OF THE SYSTEM.  THE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE GRADUALLY BUILDS OVERHEAD AND BRINGS US CLOSER THE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.  IF THE MRF SOLUTION PANS OUT...

DFW 70/84/67/85 +852
ACT 71/86/68/88 8753

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.FTW...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR MOST OF N CNTRL TX.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-040200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
400 PM CDT SAT JUN 3 2000

...FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A SLOW
MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE INTERACTS WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY
COLD FRONT. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER NORTH TEXAS IS RICH WITH MOISTURE AND
WITH A WEAK...TROPICAL LIKE...WIND FIELD IN PLACE...HEAVY RAIN SHOULD
DEVELOP TONIGHT. THEREFORE...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
TONIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM PARIS...TO
CANTON...TO TEMPLE. 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY OVER THE WATCH
AREA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 5 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR FOR AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM EASTLAND...
TO CANTON.

...THUNDERSTORMS...
DUE TO THE LIMITED INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE...THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

RESIDENTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD LISTEN FOR ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS TONIGHT.

FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER/THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOKS FOR ADJACENT AREAS...SEE
OKCSPSOKC (NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA)...
OKCSPSTUL (EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS)...NEWSPSSHV
(NORTHEAST TEXAS...NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS)...SATSPSHOU
(SOUTHEAST TEXAS)...SATSPSSAT (SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS)...AND LBBSPSSJT
(WEST CENTRAL TEXAS).

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