Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 6, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

June 29, 2000Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 29, 2000, 1:58 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2000, 1:58 PM MST (20:58 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2000, 2:30 PM MST
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 29, 1:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1922 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KFGZ 292103
SVRFLG
AZC025-292130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
158 PM MST THU JUN 29 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 230 PM MST

* AT 158 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER WILHOIT...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  PRESCOTT.  THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES NORTH OF WALNUT GROVE AT 230 PM MST

DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE 
LIKELY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO 
WARNING. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE INv FLAGSTAFF.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MST 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR ARIZONA.

LAT...LON 3460 11248 3454 11275 3425 11266 3431 11237

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 29, 9:00 AM MST, 4 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 29, 9:00 AM MST, 4 hours 58 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 AM MST THU JUN 29 2000

SYNOPSIS...THE ATMOSPHERE OVER ARIZONA WILL REMAIN MOISTURE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE SOUTHWEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. THERE WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE IN DAILY TEMPERATURES.

DISCUSSION...ZONES IN GOOD SHAPE...NO UPDATE PLANNED. THERMAL LOW
STILL LOCATED OVER WESTERN AZ WITH PROGS CONTINUING TO BUILD UPPER
RIDGE FROM THE EAST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE WITH SFC
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AND 60S ACROSS THE STATE THIS MORNING AND PW
VALUES IN THE 3/4 INCH RANGE OVER CWA. 12Z FGZ SOUNDING SHOWING MID
LEVEL WINDS STILL FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION...THIS TO ENHANCE
UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE RIM AND WHITES. EXPECT THE MOST ACTIVITY OVER
THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF CWA TODAY...ESPECIALLY THE SE PORTION. FOCUS
FOR ACTIVITY IS WEAK COLD FRONT LAYING ACROSS SE AZ ATTM. ALSO
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 12Z MODEL RUNS INDICATE CIRCULATION CENTER
ALSO OVER SE AZ. THIS PROGGED TO MOVE NE INTO CENTRAL N.M. DURING
THE DAY. ISOLATED SEVERE POSSIBLE OVER RIM AND WHITES WITH HEAVY
+RAINFALL THE MAJOR THREAT. DF

.FGZ...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 29, 9:45 AM MST, 4 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
945 AM MST THU JUN 29 2000

...HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY EAST
OF FLAGSTAFF...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL REQUESTED.

THE ATMOSPHERE OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY NOON. THE MOST INTENSE
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED EAST OF FLAGSTAFF. THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF
HEAVY RAIN WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE OF THIS
WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM...THE WHITE MOUNTAINS...AND
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN PLATEAUS.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK GIVES PRELIMINARY INFORMATION FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF WEATHER THAT COULD BECOME SEVERE...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 57 MPH...HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE FLOODING OR RUNNING WASHES. WHEN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER BEGINS...IMPORTANT LIFE SAVING INFORMATION WILL BE
PROVIDED IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD WARNINGS
...AND FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS.

DF

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.