Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 17, 2000Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 17, 2000, 5:21 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2000, 5:21 PM MST (00:21 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2000, 5:45 PM MST
In force
24 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Yavapai County, AZ

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2000-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 146 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2000-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
146 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-205 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2669 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

061 
WUUS55 KFGZ 180023
SVRFLG
AZC025-180045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
521 PM MST THU AUG 17 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 545 PM MST

* AT 521 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI             
  COUNTY...OVER BLACK CANYON CITY...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER
AWAY FROM CREEK BEDS AND OTHER FLOOD-PRONE AREAS. REMEMBER...A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

A SPOTTER IN BLACK CANYON CITY REPORTED WINDS OF 70 MPH WITH THIS 
STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MST 
THURSDAY EVENING FOR ARIZONA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO 
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MST THURSDAY EVENING FOR ARIZONA.

LAT...LON 3411 11228 3398 11219 3414 11210 3418 11224

&

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 17, 2:30 PM MST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 2:30 PM MST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
230 PM MST THU AUG 17 2000

SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND MOISTURE FROM FORMER
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ARIZONA TONIGHT. AS A
RESULT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL ARIZONA. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL. ON FRIDAY THE EASTERN SECTION OF THE STATE NEAR THE NEW
MEXICO BORDER WILL SEE SCATTERED STORMS WITH LESS ACTIVITY EXPECTED
OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS.

DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF CWA TONIGHT. WILL ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. DEW
POINTS ACROSS SOUTHERN ARIZONA REMAIN IN THE 60S AND 70S. 18Z
SOUNDINGS FROM PHX AND TUS CONTINUE TO SHOW OVER AN INCH OF PW.
EASTERLY WAVE STILL PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS AZ/MEX BORDER TONIGHT. A
PIECE OF ENERGY BREAKS OFF...MOVING NORTH WITH SHEAR ZONE BISECTING
THE CWA FROM SW TO NE. EXPECT THE MOISTURE TO MOVE NORTHWARD AS FLOW
TURN SOUTHERLY TONIGHT. QPF PROGS INDICATE OVER AN INCH OF PRECIP
POSSIBLE ACROSS SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AZ. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA. POTENTIAL IS
THERE FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
NORMAL AFTERNOON CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER NORTHERN CWA
THIS EVENING. MORE STABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE WEST AND SOUTH
TOMORROW AS SUBSIDENCE INDICATED BY THE MODELS. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS TO CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN CWA AS ENERGY AND MOISTURE
MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST.

EXTENDED...MEDIUM RANGES MODELS MAINTAIN HIGH PRESSURE CELL OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. SEE NOTHING TO ALTER MODERATE MONSOON ACTIVITY
EACH DAY. DF

.FGZ...NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 6:23 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila37 min
Aug 17, 6:30 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai30 min
Aug 17, 7:29 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZGila61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.