Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

June 28, 2000Coconino County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 28, 2000, 1:24 PM MST for Coconino County, Arizona. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2000, 1:24 PM MST (20:24 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2000, 2:00 PM MST
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Coconino County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1931 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KFGZ 282026
SVRFLG
AZC005-282100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
124 PM MST WED JUN 28 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN COCONINO COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 200 PM MST

* AT 124 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF METEOR CRATER...OR       
  ABOUT   28 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FLAGSTAFF NEAR KINNIKINICK LAKE. THE 
  STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...PUT YOUR CAR IN A GARAGE AND MOVE TO A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER FROM THE WEATHER IN A STRONG
BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN FLAGSTAFF.

LAT...LON 3504 11125 3492 11109 3516 11076 3532 11095

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 28, 9:00 AM MST, 4 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 9:00 AM MST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 AM MST WED JUN 28 2000

SYNOPSIS...EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY...AS MOISTURE REMAINS OVER
THE AREA. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW ADDITIONAL MOISTURE TO
FILTER INTO THE REGION FOR A CONTINUATION OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE WEEKEND.

DISCUSSION...12Z MODELS CONTINUE TREND OF AMPLIFYING 5H RIDGE OVER
THE SW US OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN
PLACE...WITH DYING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX PUSHING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
INTO SRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SFC DEWPOINT VALUES REMAIN IN THE
50S...TO LOWER 60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. 12Z FGZ SOUNDING
INDICATED MID LEVEL CAP...WHICH COMBINED WITH MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS
...MAY INHIBIT GROWTH FOR A SHORT WHILE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
SOUNDING WIND PROFILE...ALONG WITH MODEL TIME SECTIONS INDICATED
THAT MID LEVEL FLOW TO CONTINUE FROM THE NE THROUGH TODAY...WITH
STRONGER WESTERLIES ALOFT. THIS SHOULD ALLOW STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
TO DROP S OFF OF THE RIM. THIS SHOUMLD BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR
PRECIP OVER YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTY. SCT POPS LOOKING GOOD IN
CURRENT FCST...WITH MOST ACTIVITY DEVELOPING IN AFT. PLAN NO
UPDATES. MCGRATH

.FGZ...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 28, 9:26 AM MST, 3 hours 58 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-282030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
926 AM MST WED JUN 28 2000

...HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY SOUTH
OF FLAGSTAFF...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL REQUESTED.

A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER NORTHERN MEXICO PUSHED ADDITIONAL
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA LAST NIGHT. YAVAPAI AND
GILA COUNTY HAD THE BEST INCREASES IN MOISTURE. DAYTIME HEATING AND
INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL LEAD THE THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOGOLLON
RIM...AND HIGHER TERRAIN IN YAVAPAI COUNTY...AS WELL AS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE REMAINING PORTION OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. MID LEVEL
WINDS SHOULD STEER THESE STORMS INTO THE VALLEY LOCATIONS OF YAVAPAI
COUNTY AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND SMALL HAIL.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK GIVES PRELIMINARY INFORMATION FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF WEATHER THAT COULD BECOME SEVERE...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 57 MPH...HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE FLOODING OR RUNNING WASHES. WHEN HAZARDOUS
WEATHER BEGINS...IMPORTANT LIFE SAVING INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED
IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD WARNINGS ...AND
FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS.
MCGRATH
Special weather statement, Jun 28, 9:35 AM MST, 3 hours 49 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-282030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
935 AM MST WED JUN 28 2000

...HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY SOUTH
OF FLAGSTAFF...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL REQUESTED.

A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER NORTHERN MEXICO PUSHED ADDITIONAL
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA LAST NIGHT. YAVAPAI AND
GILA COUNTY HAD THE BEST INCREASES IN MOISTURE. DAYTIME HEATING AND
INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOGOLLON
RIM...AND HIGHER TERRAIN IN YAVAPAI COUNTY...AS WELL AS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE REMAINING PORTION OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. MID LEVEL
WINDS SHOULD STEER THESE STORMS INTO THE VALLEY LOCATIONS OF YAVAPAI
COUNTY AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND SMALL HAIL.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK GIVES PRELIMINARY INFORMATION FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF WEATHER THAT COULD BECOME SEVERE...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 57 MPH...HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE FLOODING OR RUNNING WASHES. WHEN HAZARDOUS
WEATHER BEGINS...IMPORTANT LIFE SAVING INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED
IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD WARNINGS ...AND
FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS.
MCGRATH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 2:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.