Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 7, 2000Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 7, 2000, 4:50 PM MST for Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 40 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2000, 4:50 PM MST (23:50 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2000, 5:30 PM MST
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 7, 5:06 PM MSTHail 1Rimrock, AZA thrunderstorm produced hail, and strong wind in the Rimrock area. There were reports of one inch hail and wind damaged roofs.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 212 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -32 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
212 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-189 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2066 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KFGZ 072351
SVRFLG
AZC005-025-080030-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...FOR LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
450 PM MST MON AUG 7 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 530 PM MST

* AT 450 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COTTONWOOD...OR ABOUT 6
  MILES NORTH OF CAMP VERDE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OVER RIMROCK...LAKE MONTEZUMA AT 500 PM MST
  OVER I-17 500 PM MST

VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...PUT YOUR CAR IN A GARAGE AND MOVE TO A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN FLAGSTAFF.

LAT...LON 3476 11192 3458 11194 3452 11153 3474 11150

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 7, 2:45 PM MST, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 2:45 PM MST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
245 PM MST MON AUG 7 2000

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO COLORADO BY TOMORROW.
WIND FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH MOISTURE INTO THE
STATE FROM THE EAST. THE PATTERN OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE MOUNTAINS...GILA
AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES. LITTLE CHANGE IN THIS PATTERN IS SEEN THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.

DISCUSSION...H5 RIDGE AXIS SLOWLY MARCHING EASTWARD. CENTER TO
ANCHOR ITSELF OVER COLORADO AND INTENSIFY NEXT 48 HRS KEEPING STATE
UNDER ITS INFLUENCE. MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW SEEPAGE OF MID LEVEL RH
IN CWA. PREFER MOISTER ETA OVER DRYER AVN. PW SAT IMAGERY INDICATING
1-2 INCHES PW VALUES OVER SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF CWA AND MODEL PW
OUTPUT KEEPS PW VALUES OF 1 INCH OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN CWA THRU
THURSDAY. MOISTURE ALSO INCREASING OVER NORTHERN HALF OF CWA WITH
DP'S THERE UP 4 TO 8 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOWING NO
STABILIZING INFLUENCES AND SEE NO REASON WHY CURRENT DIURNAL
CONVECTIVE PATTERN WILL CHANGE. EXPECT ACTIVE AFTERNOONS THRU THIS
FCST PERIOD...WITH STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT OF
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

EXTENDED...PATTERN STATIC WITH HI PRESSURE TO DOMINATE CWA. H5
CENTER TO REMAIN OVER COLORADO WITH LIGHT FLOW ALOFT. NOTHING TO
SCOUR OUT MOISTURE SO WILL CONTINUE THE STANDARD DIURNAL CONVECTIVE
FORECAST. DF

.FGZ...NONE

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.