Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 268, NWS Grand Forks, ND

November 1, 2000Polk County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 1, 2000, 6:52 PM CST for Polk County, Minnesota. It was in force for 28 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 1, 2000, 6:52 PM CST (00:52 UTC)
Expired
Nov 1, 2000, 7:20 PM CST
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Polk County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 1, 7:00 PM CSTHail 1.75Winger, MNThe hailstones broke a window.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2000-11-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2000-11-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 248 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-72 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
611 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
248 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 020052
SVRFAR
MNC119-020120-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND-GRAND FORKS
652 PM CST WED NOV 1 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 720 PM CST

* AT 649 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MCINTOSH...OR ABOUT 42
  MILES SOUTH OF THIEF RIVER FALLS...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTH AT 35
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MCINTOSH AT 700 PM CST...
  ERSKINE AT 705 PM CST...

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA. A TORNADO WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PMJ CST WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4753 9616 4751 9586 4775 9578 4775 9612

$$
DJK
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 1, 2:02 PM CST, 4 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 2:02 PM CST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
202 PM CST WED NOV 1 2000

...FORECAST CHALLENGES THIS PACKAGE CENTER ON POSSIBLE SEVERE
CONVECTION EARLY AND THEN SNOW THREAT TONIGHT/THURSDAY ACROSS
NORTHWEST...

.CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL OVERVIEW...
19Z MSAS ANALYSIS DEPICTED LOW PRESSURE VICINITY OF NORTH CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA WITH WARM FRONT/CORE OF BEST MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE
INCHING NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA. STRONGEST PRESSURE
FALLS ATTM EVIDENT ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SUGGESTING LOW
TRACKING FURTHER WEST THEN MODELS ARE SUGGESTING. LATEST VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED GOOD DRY PUNCH FROM EASTERN NEBRASKA
NORTHWARD INTO THE DAKOTAS WITH SCATTERED/ISOLATED CONVECTION TRYING
TO FIRE IN THIS ZONE.

.FORECAST DETAILS...
QUICK CHANGES IN THE OFFING ACROSS REGION DURING NEXT 24 HRS AS
STRONG LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO MANITOBA/ONTARIO PROVINCE.
EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE TO FIRE VICINITY OF
TRIPLE POINT/WARM SECTOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH MAIN
THREAT ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA SEE SPC OUTLOOK FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
AS LOW LIFTS INTO NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY LATE TONIGHT EXPECT COLD
AIR TO WRAP INTO BACKSIDE OF SYSTEM WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW ALONG
AND WEST OF A LANGDON TO DEVILS LAKE LINE...PER CRITICAL THICKNESS
FIELDS. DEEP LAYERED CYCLONIC FLOW THURSDAY SHOULD RESULT IN
LINGERING WIND AND SHOWERS POSSIBLY ENDING AS SNOW IN THE NORTH
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW WEAKENS ITS GRIP FRIDAY AS
WEAK RIDGE BUILDS IN.

.EXTENDED...
FLAT WESTERLY FLOW AT 500 MB ON SAT TRANSITIONS TO MORE OF A
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BY WED...AS RIDGING BUILDS OFF THE WESTERN COAST.
MRF/ECMWF/CANADIAN ALL SIMILAR IN DROPPING A SFC LOW/SFC TROUGH INTO
THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATE SUNDAY. DIFFERENCES SHOW UP IN WHERE THE
PLACEMENT WOULD BE...WITH MRF/CANADIAN HINTING AT MORE OF SOUTHERN
LOW TRACK. WILL KEEP CHANCE OF PCPN WITH THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH
FALLING TEMPS AFTER ITS PASSAGE.

.FGF...NONE

BERG/GODON

B

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 1, 6:08 PM CST, 44 minutes before
MNZ002-003-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ028>030-038-039-049-052-053-020110-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
608 PM CST WED NOV 1 2000

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 775 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND A SMALL PART OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

THE TORNADO WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM HAS BEEN CANCELLED
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
CASS...BARNES...STEELE...GRIGGS...RANSOM...SARGENT...RICHLAND IN
NORTH DAKOTA...AND WILKIN AND GRANT IN MINNESOTA.

THE TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM FOR THE
COUNTIES OF TRAILL IN NORTH DAKOTA...AND CLAY...OTTER TAIL...
WADENA...BECKER...NORMAN...HUBBARD...AND MAHNOMEN IN MINNESOTA.

RIDDLE

N

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.