Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 165, NWS Grand Forks, ND

August 4, 2000Richland County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 4, 2000, 10:24 AM CDT for Richland County, North Dakota. It was in force for 31 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 4, 2000, 10:24 AM CDT (15:24 UTC)
Expired
Aug 4, 2000, 10:55 AM CDT
In force
31 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Richland County, ND

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 4, 10:30 AM CDTHail 0.88Hankinson, ND

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2000-08-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1653 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2000-08-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 141 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1653 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
861 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

854 
WUUS53 KFGF 041525
SVRFAR
NDC077-041555-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND-GRAND FORKS
1024 AM CDT FRI AUG 4 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN RICHLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 1055 AM CDT

* AT 1021 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF LAMARS...OR ABOUT 24 MILES
  SOUTH OF WAHPETON...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAMARS AT 1030 AM CDT...
  BLACKMER AT 1040 AM CDT...

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4604 9690 4586 9687 4587 9633 4600 9641

NNNN

.END
DR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 4, 2:55 AM CDT, 7 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 4, 2:55 AM CDT, 7 hours 29 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
255 AM CDT FRI AUG 4 2000

FORECAST CHALLENGE THROUGH PERIOD MAINLY CONCERNS TSRA CHANCES AND
TEMPS.

MODELS DIFFER MAINLY ON TIMING OF UPCOMING SFC BOUNDARY. ETA MIDDLE
OF THE ROAD BETWEEN NGM AND SLOWER AVN. CONSIDERING PAST PERFORMANCE
WILL FOLLOW ETA.

IN THE NEAR TERM WILL MONITOR ISOLD BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION
ALONG SE ND/NE SD BORDER AREA ASSOCIATED WITH H8 MOIST CONVERGENCE
FROM RUC ANAL. MAY NEED TO SPLIT FAR SE COUNTIES FOR EARLY AM
SHRA/TSRA MENTION.

OTWS LEE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED LOW TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY
WITH APPROACH OF S/W ENERGY AND ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET. AS IT
DOES INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ADVECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
NORTHWARD WHICH IS UNDERESTIMATED BY ALL MODELS. MAIN LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND STEEPEST LAPSE RATES SUGGEST PRIMARY FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION INITIATION WILL BE OVR EASTERN MONTANA/WESTERN DAKOTAS
THIS AFTERNOON. OF CONCERN IS THAT ETA DEVELOPS E-W ORIENTED WARM
FRONT OVR NORTHERN COUNTIES FROM SFC LOW OVR NE MT. WITH AFTERNOON
SOLAR AND INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOIST AIRMASS BECOMES MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH LI'S TO -7 AND CAPES APPROACHING 2000 J/KG. WITH ONLY
ETA INDICATING THIS FEATURE AM NOT CONVINCED ENOUGH TO FLIP-FLOP AND
PUT POPS BACK INTO FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON BUT BEARS WATCHING.
WITH WAA AND AVAILABLE RH AOB H8 FROM 00Z UA ANALYSIS WILL LIKELY
SEE SCT-BKN MID CLOUD DEVELOPMENT AS WELL AS SOME CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
FROM SASK STORMS. DEGREE OF CLOUD COVER WILL HAVE SOME BEARING ON
TEMPS HOWEVER FOR NOW WILL LEAN TOWARDS SLIGHTLY COOLER FWC NUMBERS
ALTHOUGH DIF NOT GREAT.

CONVECTIVE THREAT TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS 30-40KT H8 LOW LEVEL JET
KICKS IN AND H8 THETA-E RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OVR FA WITH COLD FRONT
REMAINING WEST OF FA. PWATS INCREASE TO 1.5 INCH OVERNIGHT AND IF
E-W BOUNDARY PANS OUT COULD BE SOME AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN. TEMPS WILL
REMAIN MILD OVERNIGHT WITH REGION REMAINING IN WARM SECTOR.

COLD FRONT MAKES SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS FA ON SATURDAY. NEXT WAVE
ENTERS NORTHERN FA TOWARDS EVENING AND WITH AIRMASS REMAINING
UNSTABLE WILL MAINTAIN POPS. ATTM APPEARS EASTERN HALF OF FA FAVORED
AREA FOR ADDNL CONVECTION FROM FRONTAL POSIT AND WILL WARRANT
HIGHEST POPS. H8 COOLING INITIALLY NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE UNTIL SAT
NIGHT/SUNDAY TIMEFRAME.

.FGF...NONE
VOELKER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 4, 6:40 AM CDT, 3 hours 44 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-041400-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
640 AM CDT FRI AUG 4 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA TONIGHT...

SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN
HIGH PLAINS TODAY. AS IT DOES...AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY AIRFLOW
WILL TRANSPORT MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION.
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
WESTERN DAKOTAS AND TRACK EAST. THESE STORMS MAY REACH EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA LATER THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY REACH
SEVERE LIMITS.

AREA OF CONCERN...A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST WEST OF A
LINE FROM ROSEAU TO WAHPETON.

TIME...START AFTER 8 PM AND DIMINISH AFTER 2 AM.

TYPE OF HAZARD...MAINLY LARGE HAIL AND "DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

VOELKER

NNNN

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.