Severe Thunderstorm Warning 93, NWS State College, PA

CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
940 AM EDT FRI JUN 2 2000

RED-LETTER DAY FOR CENTL PA...HOWEVER DIFFERENT SETUP THAN TWO YEARS
AGO...AS STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE BECOMING MORE LIKELY W/TIME...AS
UPR LVL WINDS NOW LINED UP W/LLVL INFLOW. LOW RISK FOR TORNADIC
DEVLOPMENT FM ROTATING STORMS. GUSTNADOES ALWAYS A WORRY WITH STRONG
BOW ECHOES AND GUST FRONTS THO. HAIL THREAT NOT AS HIGH AS LAST
WED...WITH LLVLS VERY WARM AND WBZ FAIRLY HIGH.

DECENT DWPTS (LOWER 70S POISED AT MASON-DIXON LN) AND NEAR RECORD
HEAT WL COMBINE W/THE APPCHNG CD FNT AND DECENT MID LVL LAPSE RATES
TO CREATE SVR TSTMS THIS AFTN AND EVE. CONSIDERING THAT ABT 50% OF
THE SPC MDT RISK AREA DRAWN TO COVER PA...EXPECT THINGS TO GET ROUGH
LATER TDY. CURR FCST HAS ALL THESE THINGS INCLDD AND WL ADD
NEAR-RECORD WORDING TO IPT ZN...AS IPT REC MAX TDY IS 95/1923 (MDT
96 IN 1895). QUIET/COOLER PD TO FOLLOW FOR THE WKND!

.CTP...NONE.

MMD

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-022300-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1050 AM EDT FRI JUN 2 2000

...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA INTO A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING...

VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL COVER PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AS THE FRONT INTERACTS WITH THE
WARM HUMID AIR.

THE FIRST THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HALF OF PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL THEN
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH AND LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT TODAY. THE STORMS WILL GENERALLY BE MOVING VERY QUICKLY TO
THE SOUTHEAST...AT ABOUT 40 MPH. THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL
END LATE IN THE EVENING IN THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION TO
STAY UP TO DATE ON THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
TO PROTECT YOURSELF OR YOUR PROPERTY SHOULD STORMS THREATEN YOUR
IMMEDIATE AREA.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.END/DANGELO