Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
700 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2000

...UPDATED TO REMOVE MENTION OF SVR TSTM WATCH ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE CWA.  CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CWA BEHIND A
SHALLOW OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHERE SFC WINDS HAVE BACKED TO THE NE..WITH
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS STRONG OUT OF THE SOUTH.  WILL UPDATED ZONE
PACKAGE TO REFLECT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...MESOANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAKENING TREND IN THE
SFC MOISTURE CNVGNC AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE CWA AS
STRONGEST CONVERGENCE EXISTS ACROSS SE TX IN WW229 WHERE PVA IS ALSO
STRONGEST AS RESPONSIBLE SHRTWV LIFTS TO THE NE.  CELL MERGERS EXIST
OVER BROOKS COUNTY WITH EFFECTS AFFECTING ALL OF KLEBERG COUNTY AND
BAFFIN BAY.

PRESENT CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE TO THE EAST AND
NORTHEAST EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE ERN FA..WW228 WILL MOST
LIKELY BE CANCELED EARLY AS SEVERE THREAT IS DIMINISHING AND CELLS
BECOME LESS CONCENTRIC AND MORE MULTICELLULAR WITH HEAVY
DOWNPOURS/GUSTY WIND LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

THE NEXT IN THE SERIES OF SHORTWAVES..PRESENTLY APPROACHING THE BIG
BEND REGION..WILL AFFECT THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
TONIGHT.  DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE PRESENT STORMS AFFECTING
THE CWA..AM NOT EXPECTING ANY FLOODING PROBLEMS WITH ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY EXPECTED DURING THE UPCOMING FCST.  MOISTURE DEPTH WILL
DECREASE ACROSS THE AREA ON WED..WITH WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE AFFECTING
THE NERN/ERN CWA ON THU/FRI..AND OVER THE ENTIRE CWA INTO THE
WEEKEND BEFORE THE UPPER LOW FINALLY PUSHES FARTHER TO THE SE VIA
EFFECTS FROM THE BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGEZ.

THE FORECAST NUMBERS ARE NEXT...
CRP TE 081/068 082/069 085 664(EARLY)
VCT TE 080/066 081/069 084 775(EARLY)
LRD EE 081/070 087/071 090 353(EARLY)

BML.76 / JM.75

.CRP...GMZ235-255-TXZ232>234-245>247

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ230>234-240>247-021200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATMENT-WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
120 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2000

...CORRECTED TO REMOVE LASALLE AND WEBB COUNTIES...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THROUGH 7 AM CDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT.  THE WATCH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VICTORIA-ARANSAS-BEE-CALHOUN-DUVAL-GOLIAD-JIM
WELLS-KLEBERG-LIVE OAK-MCMULLEN-NUECES-REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO.

THE COMMUNITIES OF VICTORIA-ROCKPORT-BEEVILLE-PORT
LAVACA-FREER-GOLIAD-ALICE-KINGSVILLE-THREE RIVERS-TILDEN-CORPUS
CHRISTI-REFUGIO-SINTON ARE INCLUDED IN THE WATCH AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA.  RESIDENTS LIVING
IN THESE AREAS SHOULD KEEP ALERT TO THE LATEST WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM...MEANDERING OVER THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE...WILL ALLOW DISTURBANCES TO TRACK ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS
EARLY THIS TUESDAY MORNING.  THE ATMOSPHERE IS VERY UNSTABLE ACROSS
THNE REGION.  THE PRIMARY THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND.

STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

LAMARRE

GMZ230-250-270-275-TXZ230-231-240>244-021200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
400 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS CANCELED THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

DUVAL...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN...NUECES...SAN
PATRICIO...AS WELL AS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY OUT 60
NM.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS
MORNING...HOWEVER THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND HAS DIMINISHED.  THE MAJORITY OF THE
SEVERE WEATHER IS FOCUSED ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST AND ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

RESIDENTS CAN CONTINUE TO EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS.

STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION.

$:$

LAMARRE

GMZ235-255-TXZ232>234-245>247-021300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
715 AM CDT TUE MAY 2 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH EXPIRED...

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA.  AS A RESULT...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
REGION THIS MORNING.  RESIDENTS CAN CONTINUE TO EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE
MORNING.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN
AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.  P#ONDING OF WATER IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH RISES ON AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS.

STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION.

LAMARRE