Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Burlington, VT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
928 AM EDT WED MAY 10 2000

LAST NGT/S MCS ACRS MI/ONTARIO MVD FURTHER INTO ONTARIO AND QUEBEC
AND WEAKENED ENCOUNTERING THE MARATIME AIRMASS. UPR FLOW BACKED MORE
TO SW TO PUSH THIS ACTVTY IN QUEBEC RATHER THAN ALG FRNTL BNDRY
INTO OUR FA.

CRNTLY: TSTMS DVLPG ALG PERIPHY OF CLRG IN WRM SECTOR IN NY. ONE
ACTIVR AREA IN HUDSON VLY/WRN SNE ALG COASTAL FNT WITH MORE ACTVTY
AHD OF CD/OCLD FNT IN WRN NY. MOST OF FA PRETTY WELL ENTRENCHED IN
MARATIME AIRMASS AND WL LKLT BE OUR SAVING GRACE BUT CLRG ACRS
CENT NY INTO SRN ADRNKS MAY MV INTO ADRNDKS/SW VT ENOUGH TO
DESTABILIZE THERE.

SHORT TERM: MAIN PRBLM AS INDICTATED BY MIDSHFT IS FLD PTNL...ESP IN
NRN NY AS STREAMS/RVRS RUNNING HI AFT 1-3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH GRTST
PTNL OF HVY RAIN WITH OCLD FNT LATE TDY/TNGT IN NY.

DESPITE LACK OF RAIN FOR 12+ HRS IN NRN VT...STREAMS RUNNING HIGH
WITH MANY RPTS OF FIELD FLOODING AND PONDING LOW ROADS. SO...WL CONT
FFA FOR ALL FA BUT WL MAKE DECISION FOR AFTN PKG ABT VT (ESP SRN VT).

TMPS WL BE TRICKY WITH CLOSER TO CLRG LINE SEEING WIDE RANGE IN TMPS
AND THIS WL BE NOTICED IN ZONES WITH WRN VT AND ADRNDKS BEING WRMST
WITH CT RVR VLY COOLEST.

WORKS OUT BY 10 AM.

.BTV...FFA THROUGH TNGT NYZ026>031-034-VTZ001>012.

SLW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VERMONT
903 AM EDT WED MAY 10 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 AM    ST. ALBANS                VT   WIND DAMAGE
05/09/00   FRANKLIN                       LARGE TREE KNOCKED DOWN
                                          ONTO CAR.  DAMAGE TO CAR
                                          REPORTED.  TIME ESTD.

0330 PM    GROTON                    VT   WIND DAMAGE
05/09/00   CALEDONIA                      *** 1 INJ ***
                                          3.5 X 4 MI. LONG X 1 MI.
                                          WIDE SWATH OF TREES DOWNED
                                          BY TSTM WINDS. ROOF DAMAGE
                                          TO CAMPS ALONG LAKE. TIME
                                          ESTIMATED. REPORTED BY
                                          RESCUE CREW.

0355 PM    WELLS                     VT   1 INCH HAIL
05/09/00   RUTLAND                        QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED
                                          BY SKYWARN SPOTTER.

NYZ026>031-034-035-VTZ001>012-102100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1130 AM EDT WED MAY 10 2000

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN
VERMONT AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK UNTIL 5 PM...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM INCLUDES THE
COUNTIES OF ADDISON...ORANGE...RUTLAND AND WINDSOR IN VERMONT AS WELL
AS FRANKLIN AND ESSEX COUNTIES IN NEW YORK.

A WARM...HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK
AT MIDDAY AND SHOULD MOVE INTO THE ADIRONDACKS AND THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF VERMONT DURING THE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT IN WESTERN NEW
YORK WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST CAUSING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...AS
WELL AS DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINS EXISTS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ADIRONDACKS AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
VERMONT.

THUNDERSTORMS OUTSIDE THE WATCH AREA COULD SEE ISOLATED STRONG WINDS
AND HAIL AS WELL AS LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

ADVANCE PLANNING DURING A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH IS ESSENTIAL.
MAKE SURE YOUR FAMILY KNOWS WHERE TO GO...AND WHAT TO DO IN THE
EVENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION AND
RADIO...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS
CONCERNING THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

&&

WHITTIER