Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER COLORADO
225 PM MDT FRI JUL 28 2000

CONVECTION HAS FIRED IN THE FOOTHILLS...BUT SO FAR HAS BEEN SLOW TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS DUE TO BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS ARE TOO COOL.
SOME CU HAS BEEN BUILDING ON THE PLAINS...BUT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
(CIN) VALUES ARE STILL NEAR 200-300 J/KG.  WILL TAKE SOME PRETTY
HEALTHY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TO COLLIDE WITH EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
TO GENERATE SOME CONVECTION IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.  IF THE CAP
DOES BREAK FOR A "LATE SHOW"...A FEW STORMS COULD BE QUITE STRONG
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS SURFACE DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 50S AND
AND CAPES NEAR 2000 J/KG.

SATURDAY LOOKS LIKE A REPEAT OF TODAY AS LOW LEVEL WILL INITIALLY
BE QUITE STABLE.  WILL HAVE TO LIKELY RELY ON FOOTHILLS CONVECTION
TO GET THINGS GOING ON THE PLAINS AGAIN.  THEREFORE...WILL RESERVE
HIGHEST POPS ON THE PLAINS IN THE EVENING.  FAR NORTHEAST CORNER
WILL LIKELY REMAIN TO CAPPED FOR ANY CONVECTION.  SUNDAY WILL BE A
LITTLE DRIER AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GRADUALLY ERODES.

THE EXTENDED LOOKS DRIER AND EVENTUALLY WARMER AS STRONG U)PPER
RIDGING BUILDS NORTHWARD AND EXTENDS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
THIS WILL RESULT IN NORTHEASTERLY AND SUBSIDENT FLOW ALOFT SO MAINLY
DRY CONDITIONS FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

BARJENBRUCH

.DEN...NONE.

COZ030-032>050-282200-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
145 PM MDT FRI MAY 28 2000

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COLORADO COUNTIES

ADAMS     ARAPAHOE     BOULDER   CLEAR CREEK   DENVER       DOUGLAS
ELBERT    GILPIN       GRAND     JACKSON       JEFFERSON    LARIMER
LINCOLN   LOGAN        MORGAN    PARK          PHILLIPS     SEDGWICK
SUMMIT    WASHINGTON   WELD

SYNOPSIS:  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS THIS AFTERNOON.  MANY OF
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.  THESE STORMS WILL STAY BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AND
QUICKLY SUBSIDE AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT.

FURTHER EAST IN THE PLAINS...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE THIS
AFTERNOON DUE TO AFTERNOON HEATING.  HOWEVER...SINCE THE ATMOSPHERE
IS MUCH MORE STABLE THAN YESTERDAY...IT WON/T BE UNTIL LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING BEFORE STORMS DEVELOP.  SOME STORMS IN
THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE MAY APPROACH SEVERE
LEVELS...BUT MOST WILL JUST PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NO7T BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

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