Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER COLORADO
325 AM MDT THU MAY 25 2000

MDLS CONSISTENT IN KEEPING TROFINESS ALF OVR CNTRL RCKYS THRU
PRD.  MDLS DIFFER ONLY IN THE STRENGTH OF THE UPR TROF ON FRI
WITH ETA/MESOETA BEING THE DEEPEST.  HWVR GREATEST INSTABILITY
FM FCST UPR AIR SOUNDINGS OCCUR DURING LATE THIS AFTN AND ERLY
THIS EVE.  CAPES ACRS THE FCST AREA ARE WELL ABV 1200J/KG.  I
ALSO AGREE WITH SPC ON THRT OF SVR TSTMS SO WILL LEAVE MENTION
OF SVR IN FCST THIS AFTN/EVE.  FCST UPR AIR SOUNDINGS SHW LESS
CAPE ON FRI IN SPITE OF BETTER DYNAMICS BUT FOCUS OF BEST STRM
DVLPMNT MAY HAVE MOVED CLOSR TO ERN BRDR.  WITH LEE TROFG DVLPG
TDA WILL EXPECT TEMPS TO BE LTL WRMR THAN YSTRDY.  WITH APPRCH
OF UPR TROF AND SUM COOLING ALF ON FRI WILL MAKE TEMPS A LTL
COOLER.  GENLY FVRD NGM MOS TEMP GDNC OVR AVIATION FOR ABOVE
REASONS.

IN XTNDD PRD...WILL MAKE NO CHNGS TO FCST ATTM.

DATA INGEST PROBS LAST EVE RESULTED IN LOSS OF SUM MDL DATA IN
AWIPS.  DATA STORAGE PROBS ERLY THIS MRNG SEEM TO HAVE BEEN
RECTIFIED BY NCF ATTM.

GARD...WFO BOULDER

.CO...NONE

COZ030-032>050-252000-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1010 AM MDT THU MAY 25 2000

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COLORADO COUNTIES

ADAMS     ARAPAHOE     BOULDER   CLEAR CREEK   DENVER       DOUGLAS
ELBERT    GILPIN       GRAND     JACKSON       JEFFERSON    LARIMER
LINCOLN   LOGAN        MORGAN    PARK          PHILLIPS     SEDGWICK
SUMMIT    WASHINGTON   WELD

SYNOPSIS:  SUNSHINE THIS MORNING WILL COMBINE WITH PLENTIFUL
MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE TO CREATE ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO TODAY.  MODERATE WIND
SHEAR EXISTS IN THE ATMOSPHERE...SO SOME OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME SEVERE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY THE NOON
HOUR...AND THEN SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE LINE WILL LIKELY SET UP FROM THE
SOUTHERN SUBURBS OF DENVER EAST/NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE FORT MORGAN
AREA.  THIS WILL ALSO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS TODAY WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OVER THE PLAINS...INCLUDING THE FRONT RANGE METRO
AREAS.  WEAK AND SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES CAN ALSO BE ANTICIPATED ALONG
THE CONVERGENCE LINE AFTER 2 PM.  THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF A LARGER
TORNADO IN AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A STERLING TO LIMON LINE WHERE
THE BEST WIND SHEAR PROFILE EXISTS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED AFTER 1 PM.

BARJENBRUCH