Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
330 PM EDT SUN AUG 13 2000

THE UPR LOW IS CENTERED JST E OF DAN. THE S/W IS DISPLACED SLIGHTLY
TO THE S OF THE CENTER.  TSTMS DEVELOPNG ACRS THE AREA THIS AFT...W
THE MOST IMPRESSIVE ACT DEV JUST TO THE S OF THE FA. MAY SEE SOME
ISOLATED SVR...WITH THE MAIN THREAT AS HAIL...ACRS THE SRN HALF OF
FA AS THE LOW SHIFTS SE. THE UPR LOW AND S/W WL SLOWLY ROTATE E TO
NR MHX OVERNIGHT AND THEN OFF HAT CST MON MORN. MOIST AND DECENT
VERT MO WL SPREAD INTO THE DELMARVA...ESP MD...THIS EVE AND
OVERNIGHT AS THE S/W SWINGS ARND THE CLOSED LOW. THUS XPCT STEADIER
PRECIP TO MOVE BACK INTO MD ERN SHORE OVERNIGHT. SINCE SOME AREAS
MAY SEE LOCLY HVY RAINS...SO WL CONT W THE FFA. THE MOIST GRADIENT
AND VERT VELO DECREASE TO W OF THE BAY AND INTO THE PIEDMONT. THUS
WL KEEP POPS IN THE CHC CAT FOR TON.

AVN SHOWS THE UPR LOW WL SLOWLY PUSH N OFF THE CST ON MON BRINGNG
DRYER AIR IN FM THE W MON AFT AND MON EVE. AT THE SFC...THE LOW PRES
SYSTEM OFF THE DELMARVA CST WL GRAD WNK AS IT PULLS N TO OFF THE NJ
CST BY MON EVE. SO WL CONT W A CH OF PRECIP IN THE MORN IN THE W AND
THEN THRU THE DAY FOR NR THE BAY AND E. MAY SEE SOME LING PRECIP
ALONG THE CST MON EVE OTHERWISE...XPCT COND PARTIALLY CLR AND HI
PRES BUILDS IN FM THE W.

TRANQUIL WX AND WARMNG TEMPS WL BE ON TAP FOR TUE AS THE UPR
PATTERN BECMS MORE ZNAL TO THE N AND THE HI MVS OFF THE CST.
ANOTHER FRNT APPROACHES FM THE NW ON WED BUT ATTM REALLY DO NOT SEE
MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPR SUPPORT. SO ONLY XPCT SCT TSTM DEV.  COND DRY
OUT AGAIN ON THU AS HI PRES BUILD IN FM THE NW. ANOTHER SYSTEM WL
APPROACH FM THE NW LATE FRI AND SAT WHILE MRF HINTS AT SOMETHING
MORE TROPICLE IN NATURE MOVNG UP ALNT THE CST. LOOKS AS THOUGHT WE
WILL BE IN THE "SQUEEZE" SO WL CONT W A DRY FCST.

AS FOR TEMPS...AFTER ANOTHER COOL DAY ON MON...TEMPS WL REBOUND TO
NEAR NORM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WK.

CWF...WL CONT W/SCA FOR SEAS AND WNDS FOR CSTALS FM FENWICK TO NC/VA
BORDER.  WNDS WL BEGIN TO DEC ON MON AS THE SYS BEGINS TO PULL NE...
WHILE WAVES WL SUBSIDE FM S TO N MON NIGHT AND INTO TUE.

FCSTID = 15
RIC   61  77  60  89 /  40  30  10  -
ORF   66  76  64  88 /  50  40  30  -
ECG   65  79  62  89 /  40  30  10  -
SBY   64  73  60  83 /  70  50  30  -

.AKQ...
MD...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR ZONES MDZ021>025.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FM FENWICK ISLAND TO CHINCOTEAGUE.
NC...NONE.
VA...SMALL CRAFT ADSSORY FM CHINCOTEAGUE TO NC/VA BORDER.

MDZ025-NCZ102-VAZ098>100-132100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1045 AM EDT SUN AUG 13 2000

...RIP CURRENT POTENTIAL TODAY...

OFFSHORE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE ALBERTO WILL HELP TO PRODUCE RIP
CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY...FROM OCEAN CITY MD...TO
CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC. ALBERTO IS PRODUCING 3 TO 5 FOOT SWELLS
ALONG THE COAST. THE SWELLS BREAK DOWN THE SAND BARS...AND CREATE
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND UNDERTOWS. THE TIMES MOST VULNERABLE FOR
RIP CURRENTS TO OCCUR...ARE AROUND THE TIMES OF LOW TIDE...WHICH
WILL OCCUR SHORTLY AFTER 100 PM TODAY.

RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG NARROW CHANNELS OF FLOWING WATER MOVING OUT
TO SEA. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...REMAIN CALM. TRY TO
SWIM ON A COURSE PARALLEL TO THE BEACH...UNTIL YOU ARE OUT OF THE
GRIP OF THE CURRENT...THEN SWIM TO SHORE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM
BACK TO SHORE AGAINST THE RIP...SINCE IT CAN EXHAUST...OR EVEN KILL
THE STRONGEST SWIMMER. ON SATURDAY...ONE DEATH WAS REPORTED BY
EMERGENCY MANAGMENT DUE TO RIP CURRENTS.

TO AVOID BEING CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED BEACHES
WITH A LIFE GUARD PRESENT.

IN ADDITION...SURF WILL BE ROUGH...SO THERE IS A DANGER OF BEING
SLAMMED HARD BY BREAKING WAVES. SMALL CHILDREN SHOULD NOT BE ALLOWED
TO WADE INTO THE SURF DURING THESE CONDITIONS.

ALS