Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
248 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2000

ANOTHER HOT/HUMID DAY WITH HEAT INDICIES REACHING ABOVE 100 ONCE
AGAIN. CURR FOCUS IS ON BOW/LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH
WV INTO PA AND NORTHERN VA. BOXES TO THE N AND W OF CWA ATTM. UPD
POPS AND STRONGLY WORDED ZFP FOR TONIGHT. WITH FRONT APPROACHING
NRN VA ON THURS AND SLOWING...MAY BE IN FOR ANOTHER BOUT OF
STRONG STORMS FROM EARLY TO LATE AFTERNOON. ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE
NOW THRU THURSDAY AND LINGERING INTO FRIDAY...ESP IF FRNT STALLS
OR SLOWS CONSIDERABLY...AVN SHOWS HIGH PRES TO WEAK TO FRNT THROUGH
WITH CONVICTION...ETA/NGM MORE DEFINITE WITH FRONTAL PUSH THRU VA
AND INTO AND THROUGH MUCH OF NC BY SAT. PWS OF 1.8 TO 2 INCHES AND
HIGH CAPES FROM 3000 TO 5000 J/KM...ANY STORMS WILL PRODUCE HVY RAINS
OVER ALREADY SATURATED AREA. COOLER ON SAT/SUN AFTER FROPA...AND
DRYING IN STORE THRU WEEKEND. KEPT CHC SHRAS/TSTMS IN ZONES THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT MAY CLR NRN CTYS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...PRIOR TO ISSUE
TIME.

XTND PARTLY CLOUDY OVER SRN AND CLEARING WELL TO N SAT/SUN WITH
LOWS MID TO UPPER 60S AND HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. WAITING TO
SEE WHAT TD4 HAS IN STORE...MAY BE IN TROP MOISTURE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CWF: NO FLAGS...HOWEVER STRONGLY WORDED WINDS AND WAVES/SEAS HIGHER
IN THUNDERSTORMS.

.AKQ...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.

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MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-092300-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
115 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING THROUGH WEST VIRGINIA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...WILL CROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND MOVE INTO CENTRAL VIRGINIA
BY MID AFTERNOON. SHOULD THE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER...THEY HAVE
POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH LATER
THIS AFTERNOON TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA...MAINLY NORTH OF THE
JAMES RIVER. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE EASTERN SHORE AS THE LINE PROGRESSES
EASTWARD. OVER FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...THE STORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE...ALTHOUGH ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATkION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES ON THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL

REILLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD,VA
505 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0452 PM    SCOTTSVILLE              VA      WIND DAMAGE
08/09/00   FLUVANNA                         NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.

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MDZ021>025-VAZ048-049-060>100-092330-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
525 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 670 REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA....AND THE VIRGINIA AND LOWER
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE UNTIL 10 PM...

AN AREA OF VERY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE EAST
FROM THE VIRGINIA PIEDMONT...AND WILL STRETCH FROM THE NORTHERN NECK
TO THE WESTERN SUBURBS OF RICHMOND...AND LUNENBURG COUNTY BY 6
PM...FROM THE MARYLAND PART OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...TO THE CITY OF
RICHMOND...TO FORT PICKETT BY 630 PM...AND FROM THE MARYLAND EASTERN
SHORE...TO THE TRI CITIES...TO BRUNSWICK COUNTY BY 7 PM. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ALREADY HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
CUMBERLAND...FLUVANNA AND LOUISA COUNTIES. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64 IN VIRGINIA.

THE WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS OVER THE AREA HAS CAUSED THE
ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE...AND IF THESE THUNDERSTORMS HOLD
TOGETHER...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL BE POSSIBLE. DUE TO THE FAST MOTION OF THESE STORMS...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL IN GENERAL BE RESTRICTED TO ONE INCH WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS LINE OF STORMS. THIS COULD CAUSE THE PONDING OF WATER ON
SATURATED GROUNDS...AND IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IF
THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND/OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVI9CE.

MALOIT/LYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD,VA
540 PM EDT WED AUG 9 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0519 PM    CUMBERLAND              VA        WIND DAMAGE
08/09/00   CUMBERLAND                        LARGE TREE DOWN
                                             ALONG RT 690.
                                             POWER OUTAGES
                                             REPORTED.

0531 PM    NEAR GEORGES TAVERN     VA        WIND DAMAGE
08/09/00   GOOCHLAND                         NUMEROUS TREEES
                                             DOWN ACROSS THE
                                             WESTERN PART OF
                                             COUNTY.

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