Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
925 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

BUSY NIGHT ALREADY...AND THE MORE ACTIVE WEATHER STILL TOO COME.
THIS EVENING...HAVE HAD ROTATING STORMS ON WHAT APPEARS TO BE A SW
TO NE ORIENTED WARM FRONT...AND IS REFLECTED IN MSAS SFC PRES
ANALYSIS. SEVERAL REPORTS OF WATERSPOUTS OVER BAY THIS
EVENING...MAINLY NEAR GWYNN ISLAND.

STRONG UPPER VORT LOBE TO ROTATE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. WITH
COOLING ALFT...STRONG DYNAMICS...AND SFC DEWPTS STILL RUNNING AROUND
70...THINK CONVECTION WILL SUSTAIN ITSELF OVERNIGHT...WITH THE AREA
SEEING ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN...AND POSSIBLE SEVERE.
SOME AREAS DID CLEAR OUT THIS EVENING...AND THIS HAS ALLOWED TEMPS
TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 70S...SO AMS NOT AS UNSTABLE AS IT WOULD BE
IF SYSTEM CAME THROUGH EARLIER. NONETHELESS...THINK SOME SEVERE A
POSSIBILITY OVERNIGHT AS SYSTEM COMES ACROSS...WITH WINDS AND HAIL
BOTH\ POSSIBLE.

MARINE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

.AKQ...NONE.

REILLY

VAZ077-078-085-086-091-094-099-100-150200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
829 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

NUMEROUS WATERSPOUTS HAVE BEEN SIGHTED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS OVER
THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...MAINLY EAST OF STINGRAY POINT...AND
NORTH AND EAST OF GWYNN ISLAND IN EASTERN VIRGINIA. THERE WAS A
REPORT THAT A WATERSPOUT TOUCHED DOWN ON GWYNN ISLAND AT 809 PM
THIS EVENING.

CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR WATERSPOUTS THIS EVENING. WHILE MOST
OF THE ACTIVITY IS NOW OFFSHORE...PERSONS NEAR THE COAST OF THE
BAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR GWYNN ISLAND...SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. BOATERS
SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR. STAY TUNED FOR ANY FUTURE STATEMENTS ANLD
WARNINGS.

REILLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD,VA
1006 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0708 PM    DELTAVILLE                VA   TORNADO
07/14/00   MIDDLESEX                      NO DAMAGE; POSSIBLE
                                          TORNADO WITH WATERSPOUT
                                          COMING BRIEFLY ASHORE

0809 PM    GWYNN ISLAND              VA   TORNADO
07/14/00   MATHEWS                        WATERSPOUT CAME ASHORE
                                          BRIEFLY

DR

VAZ048-049-060>062-069-150630-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1230 AM EDT SAT JUL 15 2000

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING INTO WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...FROM
LOUISA TO CUMBERLAND COUNTY THROUGH 2 AM. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN. AVERAGE
RAINFALL WILL BE FROM 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.

MDZ021-150605-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1234 AM EDT SAT JUL 15 2000

A SLOW MOVING AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF DORCHESTER
COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MARYLAND THROUGH 2 AM. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN.
AVERAGE RAINFALL WILL BE FROM 1/2 TO 1 INCH...WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF
THE COUNTY. BE ALERT TO SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER IN POOR
DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
FROM THESE STORMS.

VAZ064-074-150515-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1240 AM EDT SAT JUL 15 2000

AT 1240 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WEST CENTRAL CAROLINE COUNTY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...MILFORD AT 1245
AM...BOWLING GREEN AT 1250 AM...SPARTA AT 100 AM...RAPPAHANNOCK
ACADEMY AT 105 AM...PORT ROYAL AT 115 AM. EXPECT FREQUENT
fLIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.