Severe Thunderstorm Warning 103, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1125 AM MDT MON OCT 23 2000

SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY 9000 TO 9500 FEET (A BIT LOWER ALONG WRN
BORDER). FREEZING LEVEL AT KTUS WAS 8,800 FEET, AND 10,700 FEET AT
KABQ. HAD REPORTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ABOVE THE 9500 FOOT LEVEL ACROSS
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS SO FAR.

INITIAL WAVE OF PRECIP ROTATING NWWD THROUGH SWRN COLORADO, WITH
TEMPO LULL IN THE ACTION ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHCENTRAL NM. DON'T
FEEL SNOW ADVY WARRANTED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SNOW ACCUMULATION
LEVEL REMAINS AT OR ABOVE 9000 FEET. WILL NEED TO LOOK CLOSER FOR
TONIGHT, HOWEVER, AS COLDER ALOFT BEGINS TO SPREAD EASTWARD AND SNOW
LEVEL DROP INTO MORE POPULATED AREAS.

WILL UP POPS TO CATEGORICAL ACROSS ALL OF THE EAST WITH POTENTIAL
FOR SVR AND HEAVY RAIN. ALSO INCREASED WINDS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY WITH STRONG EAST TO WEST GRADIENT. NO MORE TIME.

KJ

.ABQ...NONE.


NMZ012-013-016-018>021-240000-

NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1130 AM MDT MON OCT 23 2000

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS AND THE CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS.

SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
SPIN OVER ARIZONA.  PLENTY OF LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO ROTATE NORTHWARD ACROSS NEW MEXICO.  IN ADDITION A
COLD FRONT WAS DRAPED ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  THIS HAS
ENHANCED THE UPSLOPE CONDITIONS OVER THE EAST.  ALSO THIS HAS
INCREASED THE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR OR THE TURNING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT
OVER AND NEAR THE OUTLOOK AREA.

COUNTIES WHERE SPOTTERS MAY BE REQUIRED...
...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
SAN MIGUEL     QUAY     GUADALUPE    DEBACA
CURRY          CHAVES   ROOSEVELT    LINCOLN

SPOTTER ACTIVATION...MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY FROM ROUGHLY EAST OF
A SANTA ROSA TO ROSWELL LINE.

...CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...
NONE

...WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO...
NONE

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF NEW MEXICO.