Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 96, NWS Tucson, AZ

September 15, 1999Graham County, Greenlee County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 15, 1999, 12:45 PM MST for Graham County, Greenlee County, Arizona. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 1999, 12:45 PM MST (19:45 UTC)
Expired
Sep 15, 1999, 1:40 PM MST
In force
55 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 165 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 15, 12:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The text

The text of this product is not in the archive. The NWS text archive before 2002 is incomplete.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 15, 9:20 AM MST, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 9:20 AM MST, 3 hours 25 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 15, 12:05 PM MST, 40 minutes before
AZZ019-029-030-032-033-035-160100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1205 PM MST WED SEP 15 1999

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 6 PM MST FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM FOR SOUTHEAST
PINAL...GRAHAM...GREENLEE...CENTRAL PIMA...EASTERN PIMA AND NORTHERN
COCHISE COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES LOCATIONS SUCH AS METROPOLITAN
TUCSON...SELLS...GREEN VALLEY...ORACLE...SAFFORD...CLIFTON...
BENSON...AND WILLCOX.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THIS INCLUDES DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION AREA OF
BLOWING DUST ARE POSSIBLE AWAY FROM STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE EXPERIENCED WITH STORMS.

MEYER
Special weather statement, Sep 15, 12:05 PM MST, 40 minutes before
AZZ019-029-030-032-033-035-160100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1205 PM MST WED SEP 15 1999

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 6 PM MST FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM FOR SOUTHEAST
PINAL...GRAHAM...GREENLEE...CENTRAL PIMA...EASTERN PIMA AND NORTHERN
COCHISE COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES LOCATIONS SUCH AS METROPOLITAN
TUCSON...SELLS...GREEN VALLEY...ORACLE...SAFFORD...CLIFTON...
BENSON...AND WILLCOX.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THIS INCLUDES DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION AREA OF
BLOWING DUST ARE POSSIBLE AWAY FROM STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE EXPERIENCED WITH STORMS.

MEYER
Special weather statement, Sep 15, 12:45 PM MST, 0 minutes before
AZZ019-029>035-160500-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1245 PM MST WED SEP 15 1999...THIS PRODUCT IS NOT UPDATED

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 6 PM MST FOR SOUTHEAST PINAL...
CENTRAL PIMA...EASTERN PIMA...GRAHAM...GREENLEE...AND NORTHERN
COCHISE COUNTIES...

                          *CONDITIONAL*   *CONDITIONAL*
COUNTY            AREAL    PROBABILITY  RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
                 COVERAGE   OF SEVERE     1.00      2.00    MOTION

COCHISE             40          20         35         5     E 15
GRAHAM              50          30         45         5     E 20
GREENLEE            65          30         45         5     E 20
TUCSON/ERN PIMA     40          25         45         5     E 15
TOHONO OODHAM      35          20         45         5     E 12
SOUTHEAST PINAL     40          25         45         5     E 15
WESTERN PIMA        20           5         45         5     ESE10
SANTA CRUZ          40          10         45         5     ESE10

SYNOPSIS...MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SHEAR
PROFILE INDICATES STRONG SEVERE WEATHER SIGNATURES. FAST MOVING
SO FLOODING IS NOT A BIG CONCERN. EASTERN AREAS COULD SEE
ACTIVITY SUSTAINED WELL INTO THE EVENING.
*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                 THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT AN INDIVIDUAL STORM WILL
                 REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                 LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT AN INDIVIDUAL STORM WILL
                 PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                 ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION TO WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                 LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12:45 PM TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE.
THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES. CORRESPONDING GRAPHICS MAY BE FOUND ON THE NWS
TUCSON INTERNET PAGE AT
HTTP://NIMBO.WRH.NOAA.GOV/TUCSON/SWO/SWO.SHTML

END/
Special weather statement, Sep 15, 12:45 PM MST, 0 minutes before
AZZ019-029>035-160500-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1245 PM MST WED SEP 15 1999...THIS PRODUCT IS NOT UPDATED

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 6 PM MST FOR SOUTHEAST PINAL...
CENTRAL PIMA...EASTERN PIMA...GRAHAM...GREENLEE...AND NORTHERN
COCHISE COUNTIES...

                          *CONDITIONAL*   *CONDITIONAL*
COUNTY            AREAL    PROBABILITY  RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
                 COVERAGE   OF SEVERE     1.00      2.00    MOTION

COCHISE             40          20         35         5     E 15
GRAHAM              50          30         45         5     E 20
GREENLEE            65          30         45         5     E 20
TUCSON/ERN PIMA     40          25         45         5     E 15
TOHONO OODHAM      35          20         45         5     E 12
SOUTHEAST PINAL     40          25         45         5     E 15
WESTERN PIMA        20           5         45         5     ESE10
SANTA CRUZ          40          10         45         5     ESE10

SYNOPSIS...MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SHEAR
PROFILE INDICATES STRONG SEVERE WEATHER SIGNATURES. FAST MOVING
SO FLOODING IS NOT A BIG CONCERN. EASTERN AREAS COULD SEE
ACTIVITY SUSTAINED WELL INTO THE EVENING.
*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                 THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT AN INDIVIDUAL STORM WILL
                 REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                 LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT AN INDIVIDUAL STORM WILL
                 PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                 ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION TO WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                 LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12:45 PM TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE.
THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES. CORRESPONDING GRAPHICS MAY BE FOUND ON THE NWS
TUCSON INTERNET PAGE AT
HTTP://NIMBO.WRH.NOAA.GOV/TUCSON/SWO/SWO.SHTML

END/

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 1:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima77 min
Sep 15, 1:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise49 min
Sep 15, 3:17 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima38 min
Sep 15, 4:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.