Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Warnings in 1999

Tornado Warning 60, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 11, 1999Mayes County, Rogers County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this tornado warning at May 11, 1999, 6:27 PM CDT for Mayes County, Rogers County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 33 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 1999, 6:27 PM CDT (23:27 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 1999, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
33 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Mayes County, OK, Rogers County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 11, 6:48 PM CDTHail 1Pryor, OKThere were several reports of dime and quarter-sized hail southwest of Pryor.
May 11, 7:07 PM CDTHail 0.88Pryor, OKThere was a report of dime-sized hail 3 miles south of Pryor at 707 PM CDT, while there was a report of nickel-sized hail in Pryor at 713 PM CDT.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 11, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 60 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
60 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-204 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
878 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

999 
WFUS54 KTSA 112328 RRA
TORTUL
OKC097-131-120000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
627 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  EXTREME EASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 627 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG 
ROTATION 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PRYOR NEAR THE ROGERS COUNTY LINE. 
THIS STORM IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH...THIS DANGEROUS STORM 
COULD PRODUCE A TORNADO AT ANY TIME.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...  PRYOR AND
  ADAIR

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF A TORNADO...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE
PLACE NOW

LAT...LON 3629 9560 3614 9548 3628 9515 3647 9530

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 11, 3:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 11, 3:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
WILL THERE BE SEVERE CONVECTION?
WILL THERE BE HEAVY RAINFALL?
POPS

CLOUDS HANGING TOUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE FA...BUT
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE PREVAILED OVER FAR ERN OK AND PORTIONS OF NW
ARKANSAS. SURFACE FRONT HAS PORGRESSED AT A SNAILS PACE...WITH MID
AFTERNOON POSTIONING JUST EAST OF A KANSAS CITY TO OKLAHOMA CITY TO
WICHITA FALLS LINE. LOTS OF CLOUDS AND WARM AIR ALOFT HAS KEPT
CONVECTION IN CHECK THUS FAR. COULD STILL SEE SOME ACTIVITY FIRE
ALONG THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARY IN AREAS NORTH AND
OF TUL. UPPER TROUGH STILL EXPECTED TO LIFT OUT TONIGHT BRINGING
ASSOCIATED S/W ENERGY ACROSS THE AREA. SURFACE FRONT SHOULD PROGRESS
EASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO UPPER SYSTEM LIFTING OUT. EXPECT SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO FIRE IN VICINITY OF FRONT AS THE COLDER AIR ALOFT WEAKENS
THE CAP. ACTIVITY MAY FORM INTO A COMPLEX OF STORMS AS ACTIVITY MOVES
ACROSS THE FA TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. ETA CONSISTENT WITH
PLACING ERN OK IN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF H3 80 KT JET MAX. LOOKS
LIKE BEST LIFT WILL BE OVER NE OK AND NW ARKANSAS. THERE COULD ALSO
BE SOME HEAVY RAINS WITH SLOW MOVING FRONT. WILL NOT ISSUE FFA AT
THIS TIME AS MOST PRECIP IS EXPECTED OVER AREAS WHERE FFG VALUES ARE
THE HIGHEST.

FRONT EXPECTED TO BE THROUGH NW AR AND SE OK BY 12Z TOMORROW. WILL
LEAVE LOW POPS IN FOR MORNING TO COVER LINGERING ACTIVITY. DRIER AIR
ADVECTING IN BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN A PARTLY CLOUDY SKY
OVER THE FA TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. STUCK PRETTY CLOSE TO
GUIDANCE(NGM MOS AVAILABLE) BUT OPTED FOR COOLER FAN NUMBERS IN LATER
PERIODS.

IN THE EXTENDED...WILL KEEP DRY AS MOST EXTENDED MODELS ARE
CONSISTENT WITH WEAK H5 RIDGING SETTING UP FRI AND SAT. LEE TROUGHING
WILL RESULT IN RETURN FLOW AT THE SURFACE BY FRIDAY. UPPER RIDGE
SHIFTS OFF TO THE EAST WITH SW FLOW SETTING UP AGAIN SUNDAY. THIS AND
A SURFACE DRYLINE/PACIFIC FRONT TO THE WEST OF FA WARRANTS CHANCE
POPS FOR SUNDAY.

FCSTID = 23
TUL   57  75  56  79 /  60  20   0   0
FSM   59  77  55  80 /  50  30   0   0
MLC   60  78  56  80 /  50  20   0   0
BVO   58  74  53  79 /  60  20   0   0
FYV   57  73  52  78 /  60  30   0   0
IDB   60  80  58  82 /  40  20   0   0
BYV   56  72  51  77 /  60  30   0   0
MIO   58  80  52  77 /  60  30   0   0
MKO   58  76  55  80 /  60  20   0   0
F10   57  75  56  79 /  60  20   0   0
HHW   60  80  58  82 /  40  20   0   0

.TUL...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

--------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: CHANCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NGM CONFIDENCE:  MODEL OUTPUT NOT AVAILABLE
ETA CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 8 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 11, 1:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT...

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE TO WEST OF
ARDMORE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH
TONIGHT AND WILL EXTEND FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED
ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WILL MOVE EAST INTO OKLAHOMA TONIGHT.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES. A FEW
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
A CAP OF WARM AIR ALOFT WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR MOST
OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS COLDER AIR ALOFT MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS NEAR THE FRONT.

A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT ACT TO ORGANIZE
DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IDEAL FOR
SUPERCELLS...A FEW ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY MODE OF SEVERE CONVECTION
OVERNIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE BOW ECHO LINE SEGMENTS.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO A
COMPLEX OF MULTICELL THUNDERSTORMS BY MIDNIGHT AND MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE AREA OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED AS
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE SLOW
MOVING FRONT.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION BY 7 PM.  STORM SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER 10 PM.
Special weather statement, May 11, 1:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT...

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE TO WEST OF
ARDMORE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH
TONIGHT AND WILL EXTEND FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED
ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WILL MOVE EAST INTO OKLAHOMA TONIGHT.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES. A FEW
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
A CAP OF WARM AIR ALOFT WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR MOST
OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS COLDER AIR ALOFT MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS NEAR THE FRONT.

A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT ACT TO ORGANIZE
DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE IDEAL FOR
SUPERCELLS...A FEW ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY MODE OF SEVERE CONVECTION
OVERNIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE BOW ECHO LINE SEGMENTS.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO A
COMPLEX OF MULTICELL THUNDERSTORMS BY MIDNIGHT AND MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE AREA OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED AS
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE SLOW
MOVING FRONT.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION BY 7 PM.  STORM SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER 10 PM.
Local storm report, May 11, 6:04 PM CDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
604 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0601 PM    8 NW PRYOR                OK    .75 INCH HAIL
05/11/99   MAYES                           FIRE DEPT REPT OF DIME
                                           HAIL ON TURNPIKE AT
                                           MAYES/ROGERS CO. LINE
Local storm report, May 11, 6:04 PM CDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
604 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0601 PM    8 NW PRYOR                OK    .75 INCH HAIL
05/11/99   MAYES                           FIRE DEPT REPT OF DIME
                                           HAIL ON TURNPIKE AT
                                           MAYES/ROGERS CO. LINE
Local storm report, May 11, 6:12 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
612 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0440 PM    2 W PRYOR                 OK    2.75 INCH HAIL
05/11/99   MAYES
Local storm report, May 11, 6:13 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
613 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0610 PM    8 E CLAREMORE             OK    .75 INCH HAIL
05/11/99   ROGERS                          ON HWY 20...SPOTTER
                                           REPORT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMayes, Rogers35 min
May 11, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMayes, Rogers48 min
May 11, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAMayes37 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Oklahoma, 1999Every tornado warning in 1999Tornadoes in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.