Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Warnings in 1999

Tornado Warning 11, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 8, 1999Haskell County, Muskogee County, Sequoyah County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this tornado warning at Mar 8, 1999, 6:42 PM CST for Haskell County, Muskogee County, Sequoyah County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 48 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 1999, 6:42 PM CST (00:42 UTC)
Expired
Mar 8, 1999, 7:30 PM CST
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Haskell County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 8, 6:43 PM CSTTornado F0Shady Grove, OKThe same parent thunderstorm that spawned the earlier tornado further west in McIntosh County again spawned a brief tornado touchdown about three miles west of Warner in far eastern McIntosh County. No damage was reported with this touchdown.
Mar 8, 6:59 PM CSTHail 0.88Gore, OK

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 8, 3:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 1999-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 1999-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 315 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
535 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
315 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

999 
WFUS54 KTSA 090045 RRA
TORTUL
OKC061-101-135-090130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
642 PM CST MON MAR 8 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
  SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
  HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 730 PM CST

* AT 642 PM CST STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO EAST OF CHECOTAH 
NORTH OF I-40 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARNER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE WEBBERS FALLS...
  WARNER...PORUM...MOFFETT...BRUSHY...VIAN...ROLAND...MULDROW...
  GANS...SALLISAW AND TAMAHA

LAT...LON 3552 9540 3534 9540 3532 9444 3557 9444

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 8, 3:45 PM CST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 3:45 PM CST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 PM CST MON MAR 8 1999

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
WILL THERE BE SEVERE CONVECTION THIS EVENING?

21Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER SCNTRL KS/NCTRL OK WITH
DRYLINE EXTENDING SSEWD INTO SE OK.  WARM FRONT IS A BIT
ILL-DEFINED...BUT APPEARS TO CUT NW-SE ACROSS ERN OK.  WHILE INITIAL
BAND OF SHRA/TSRA HAS EXITED FORECAST AREA...WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE
ON SE OK LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS PARTIAL
CLEARING/INCREASING SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE ALLOWED FOR
DESTABILIZATION IN THE WARM SECTOR.  ALREADY SEE ISOLATED ECHOES OVER
SE OK ALONG THE DRYLINE...AND THESE COULD EVENTUALLY BECOME SEVERE AS
COLDER MID LEVEL TEMPS/IMPRESSIVE 850-500MB LAPSE RATES SPREAD ACROSS
THIS AREA.  COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED THOUGH...SO WILL KEEP POPS LOW.

WLY/NWLY FLOW/SUBSIDENCE WILL OVERTAKE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS
EVENING...WITH DECREASING SKIES.  EXPECT A DRY AND MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
FOR TUE...WITH SURFACE RIDGE SLIDING OVER ERN OK BY DAYS END.

NEXT UPPER SYSTEM PROGD TO MOVE N OF FORECAST AREA WED/WED NIGHT.
AVN SHOWS A DECENT RETURN OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...BUT CANT GET TOO
EXCITED WITH POPS WITH WLY FLOW ALOFT AND A VERY WEAK SURFACE
PATTERN.  WILL MAINTAIN 20 POPS FOR WED AND CARRY LOW POPS INTO WED
NIGHT.

EXTENDED FORECAST BECOMES RATHER MUDDLED FRI INTO SAT.  ALL LONG
RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THAT A SIGNIFICANT UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
SRN PLAINS...BUT TIMING DIFFERENCES ABOUND.  NOGAPS/ECMWF/UKMET ALL A
BIT FASTER THAN MRF WITH UPPER LOW...MOVING SYSTEM INTO KS BY 12Z
SAT.  MODELS EVEN SUGGEST POSSIBILITY OF FROZEN PRECIP OVER NRN ZONES
BY SAT...BUT IT WILL ALL DEPEND ON WHERE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS AND
AMOUNT AVAILABLE LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR.  FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS RATHER
LOW...BUT WILL INTRODUCE A CHANCE OF RAIN ON FRI...AND A CHANCE OF
RAIN OR SNOW OVER NE OK FOR SAT.

FCSTID = 18
TUL   36  54  35  61 /  20   0   0  20
FSM   37  58  33  63 /  20   0   0  20
MLC   38  58  36  65 /  20   0   0  20
BVO   36  54  35  61 /  20   0   0  20
FYV   35  50  28  58 /  20   0   0  20
IDB   42  63  34  68 /  30   0   0  20
BYV   35  50  28  58 /  20   0   0  20
MIO   36  52  31  60 /  20   0   0  20
MKO   36  54  35  61 /  20   0   0  20
F10   36  54  35  61 /  20   0   0  20
HHW   42  63  34  68 /  30   0   0  20

.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

--------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: SLIGHT CHANCE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS
NGM CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
ETA CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 8, 1:00 PM CST, 5 hours 42 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST MON MAR 8 1999

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY IN FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.SYNOPSIS...
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MOVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING WAS LOCATED ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS AND FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS...WINDS WERE SOUTHERLY BUT
TEMPERATURES REMAINED QUITE COOL...WITH READINGS IN THE 40S AND
LOWER 50S. WITH THE COOL AIR IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...THE
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED WITH ONLY
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

ALONG THE RED RIVER IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL
REACH THE MID 60S AND MODERATELY HIGH AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
REMAIN. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE... MAINLY
OVER CHOCTAW AND PUSHMATAHA COUNTIES THROUGH ABOUT 8 PM. (NOTE:
OUTLOOKS FOR MCCURTAIN COUNTY ARE ISSUED BY THE NWS IN SHREVEPORT).

.DISCUSSION...
INSTABILITY REMAINS VERY LOW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER IN
SOUTHCENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...THE ATMOSPHERE WAS BEGINNING
TO DESTABILIZE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THIS AREA BY 3 PM
AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THESE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS. DUE TO THE DECREASED INSTABILITY AND SLIGHTLY
WEAKER LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES HAS
DIMINISHED.  AREAS WELL TO THE EAST...AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE IN
NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND EASTERN TEXAS WILL HAVE THE GREATEST THREAT
FOR TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.EMERGENCY AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT...HOWEVER
THE LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS SHOULD BE MONITORED ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT.
Special weather statement, Mar 8, 1:00 PM CST, 5 hours 42 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST MON MAR 8 1999

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY IN FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.SYNOPSIS...
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MOVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING WAS LOCATED ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS AND FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS...WINDS WERE SOUTHERLY BUT
TEMPERATURES REMAINED QUITE COOL...WITH READINGS IN THE 40S AND
LOWER 50S. WITH THE COOL AIR IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...THE
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED WITH ONLY
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

ALONG THE RED RIVER IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL
REACH THE MID 60S AND MODERATELY HIGH AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
REMAIN. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE... MAINLY
OVER CHOCTAW AND PUSHMATAHA COUNTIES THROUGH ABOUT 8 PM. (NOTE:
OUTLOOKS FOR MCCURTAIN COUNTY ARE ISSUED BY THE NWS IN SHREVEPORT).

.DISCUSSION...
INSTABILITY REMAINS VERY LOW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER IN
SOUTHCENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...THE ATMOSPHERE WAS BEGINNING
TO DESTABILIZE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THIS AREA BY 3 PM
AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THESE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS. DUE TO THE DECREASED INSTABILITY AND SLIGHTLY
WEAKER LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES HAS
DIMINISHED.  AREAS WELL TO THE EAST...AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE IN
NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND EASTERN TEXAS WILL HAVE THE GREATEST THREAT
FOR TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.EMERGENCY AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT...HOWEVER
THE LATEST CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS SHOULD BE MONITORED ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 6:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Wagoner46 min
Mar 8, 6:24 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee51 min
Mar 8, 6:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Mayes, Rogers50 min
Mar 8, 6:44 PM CSTTornado WarningTSADelaware, Mayes46 min
Mar 8, 6:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee55 min
Mar 8, 6:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair55 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Oklahoma, 1999Every tornado warning in 1999Tornadoes in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.