Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 340, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 31, 1999Benton County, Madison County, Washington County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 31, 1999, 7:31 AM CDT for Benton County, Madison County, Washington County, Arkansas. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 1999, 7:31 AM CDT (12:31 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 1999, 8:30 AM CDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Benton County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1088 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

999 
WUUS54 KTSA 311233 RRA
SVRTUL
ARC007-015-087-143-311330-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
731 AM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR
  EASTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 830 AM CDT

* AT 731 AM CDT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO
  65 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF BENTONVILLE TO SPRINGDALE TO 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  BLACKBURN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...  ROGERS..SPRINGDALE... 
FAYETTEVILLE...EUREKA SPRINGS AND HUNTSVILLE.

DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR UP TO 5 MILES AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN
AND HAIL. MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE NOW.

LAT...LON 3644 9435 3617 9422 3576 9432 3577 9353
          3615 9350 3642 9363

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 31, 3:55 AM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 3:55 AM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
355 AM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
POPS
TEMPERATURES

MCS MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH KANSAS HAS MERGED WITH LINE OF STORMS
MOVING EAST ACROSS KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER. THESE STORMS ARE JUST NOW
ENTERING NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. HAVE STAGGERED POPS FROM LIKELY NORTH TO
CHANCE FAR SOUTH THIS MORNING. STORMS ARE MOVING INTO SLIGHTLY MORE
STABLE AIR BUT GOOD MOISTURE AVAILABLE.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE TROUBLE AS FAR AS SURFACE FEATURES THROUGH 48
HOURS. SEVERAL SURFACE LOWS RIDE NORTHEAST ALONG FRONT OVER
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES UP INTO SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. EXACT POSITION
IS HARD TO PREDICT...BUT APPEARS FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH TO THE EAST
THIS EVENING. EXPECT MCS TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN KANSAS LATE THIS
EVENING AND MAKE IT INTO CWA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT JUST AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT. WILL LEAVE CHANCE POPS IN EVERYWHERE THIS AFTERNOON...
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE LINGERING THROUGH EARLY
MORNING WEDNESDAY. GUIDANCE TEMPS LOOK CLOSE AND HAVE GONE WITH
COMPROMISE. REST OF EXTENDED LOOKS ON TRACK AND WILL MAKE NO CHANGES
AT THIS TIME.

FCSTID = 33
TUL   88  69  86  66 /  60  50  30  20
FSM   89  68  86  66 /  50  30  30  20
MLC   89  69  87  67 /  50  40  30  20
BVO   87  68  84  65 /  60  50  30  20
FYV   86  66  84  64 /  60  30  30  20
IDB   90  67  87  66 /  30  30  20  20
BYV   86  66  84  64 /  60  30  30  20
MIO   86  67  84  65 /  60  40  30  20
MKO   88  69  86  66 /  60  50  30  20
F10   89  69  87  67 /  60  50  30  20
HHW   90  67  87  66 /  30  30  20  20

.TUL...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.
--------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: CHANCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NGM CONFIDENCE:  6 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
ETA CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 31, 6:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. A FEW OF THE
STORMS THIS MORNING WILL REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE...MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS THEY CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST. THESE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN BY MID TO LATE MORNING AS
THEY MOVE INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME STATIONARY ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON...A FEW OF
WHICH COULD BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE DIRECTLY RELATED TO THE
AMOUNT OF HEATING THAT CAN OCCUR NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO ORGANIZE IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS AS THE UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES AND INTERACTS WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOW AND MID LEVEL WINDS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME OF
THE STORMS TO REMAIN SEVERE AS THEY MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS...OKLAHOMA...
AND ARKANSAS TODAY. THE LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE MAIN
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.
BY LATE TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW OF WHICH WILL
LIKELY BE SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OR MOVE INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WILL REMAIN
STRONG TO SEVERE UNTIL MID MORNING...AND SHOULD DISSIPATE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE WEAKENING
AND LIFTING NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.

THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AFTER 3 PM...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL
DESTABILIZATION IN AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY...
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS IN
SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A COMPLEX OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME ORGANIZED AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM AND MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REACH NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER 2 AM...
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER 4 AM. LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX...
BUT THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WITH
BOW ECHOES.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT OR ACTIVATED UNTIL LATE MORNING. STORM SPOTTER GROUPS
ACROSS THE REST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
TONIGHT.
Special weather statement, May 31, 6:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. A FEW OF THE
STORMS THIS MORNING WILL REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE...MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS THEY CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST. THESE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN BY MID TO LATE MORNING AS
THEY MOVE INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME STATIONARY ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON...A FEW OF
WHICH COULD BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE DIRECTLY RELATED TO THE
AMOUNT OF HEATING THAT CAN OCCUR NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO ORGANIZE IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS AS THE UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES AND INTERACTS WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOW AND MID LEVEL WINDS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME OF
THE STORMS TO REMAIN SEVERE AS THEY MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA...
WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS...OKLAHOMA...
AND ARKANSAS TODAY. THE LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE MAIN
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.
BY LATE TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW OF WHICH WILL
LIKELY BE SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OR MOVE INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WILL REMAIN
STRONG TO SEVERE UNTIL MID MORNING...AND SHOULD DISSIPATE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE WEAKENING
AND LIFTING NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.

THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AFTER 3 PM...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL
DESTABILIZATION IN AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY...
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS IN
SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A COMPLEX OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME ORGANIZED AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM AND MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REACH NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER 2 AM...
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER 4 AM. LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX...
BUT THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WITH
BOW ECHOES.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT OR ACTIVATED UNTIL LATE MORNING. STORM SPOTTER GROUPS
ACROSS THE REST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
TONIGHT.
Local storm report, May 31, 6:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
611 AM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0415 AM    DEWEY                     OK    .75 INCH HAIL
05/31/99   WASHINGTON

0439 AM    HOMINY                    OK    60 MPH TSTM GUST
05/31/99   OSAGE                           REPORTED BY SPOTTERS.

0458 AM    OWASSO                    OK    WIND DAMAGE
05/31/99   TULSA                           TREE LIMBS DOWN AND
                                           ROOF BLOWN OFF METAL
                                           SHED.
Local storm report, May 31, 6:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
611 AM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0415 AM    DEWEY                     OK    .75 INCH HAIL
05/31/99   WASHINGTON

0439 AM    HOMINY                    OK    60 MPH TSTM GUST
05/31/99   OSAGE                           REPORTED BY SPOTTERS.

0458 AM    OWASSO                    OK    WIND DAMAGE
05/31/99   TULSA                           TREE LIMBS DOWN AND
                                           ROOF BLOWN OFF METAL
                                           SHED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 6:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton46 min
May 31, 6:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington50 min
May 31, 7:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.