Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 1999

Flash Flood Warning 74, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 25, 1999Sebastian County, Arkansas; LeFlore County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood warning at Jun 25, 1999, 6:15 PM CDT for Sebastian County, Arkansas; LeFlore County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 1999, 6:15 PM CDT (23:15 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 1999, 9:15 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Sebastian County, AR, LeFlore County, OK

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 130 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1999-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
130 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
933 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUL 252320
FFWTUL
ARC131-OKC079-260215-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
615 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR
  SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  NORTHERN LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 615 PM CDT RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF SEBASTIAN AND 
NORTHERN LE FLORE COUNTIES.  THIS AREA OF RAINFALL WAS MOVING TO THE 
NORTH AT 10 MPH.  RADAR ESTIMATES SHOW THAT BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES OF 
RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE WARNED AREA DURING THE PAST FEW 
HOURS...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 
HOURS.

BLOOMER...JENNY LIND...BONANZA...EXCELSIOR...MIDLAND...HUNTINGTON...
LAVACA...BARLING...GREENWOOD...HACKETT...FORT SMITH...ARKOMA...
POCOLA...SPIRO...BOKOSHE...PANAMA AND CAMERON AND ADJACENT
COMMUNITIES MAY BE AFFECTED BY FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3510 9484 3504 9425 3541 9410 3532 9480

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 25, 3:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 3:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
335 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 1999

DUE TO AWIPS PROBLEMS...EXPERIMENTAL DATA WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE.

MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THRU FORECAST PERIOD.  UPPER LOW/
WEAK VORT WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA TONIGHT
AND INTO ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY. CLOUD COVER HAS REMAINED THICK
ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS...AND WITH BEST LIFT EVIDENT IN AREAS
WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO MID TO UPPER 80S.  ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT OUT OF QUESTION THIS EVENING IN THESE
AREAS.

SURFACE COLD FRONT IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL DROP INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA LATE SAT/EARLY SUNDAY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH FORECAST
AREA THROUGH MONDAY.  AVN/MRF CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE STRENGTHENING
CAP AT 700 MB STARTING TOMORROW BUT NGM/ETA NOT SHOWING AS MUCH OF
A WARM-UP. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH HIGHER POPS AHEAD/ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY SUNDAY.

FCST=33

TUL 071/087 074/089 070 323
FSM 070/088 072/091 071 433
MLC 071/089 072/090 071 433
BVO 069/087 071/088 068 323
FYV 067/086 068/087 067 433
IDB 070/090 070/091 070 433
BYV 067/085 067/087 067 433
MIO 068/086 068/088 069 433
MKO 071/087 074/089 070 323
F10 071/088 074/090 070 433
HHW 070/090 071/088 068 433

.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 1999

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE LOCATED OVER
WESTERN OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY LATE TONIGHT.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR AND AHEAD OF THIS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
BOUNTIFUL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY
WARMED INTO THE LOWER 80S IN SOME LOCATIONS.  LOW CLOUDS HAVE
HINDERED WARMING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...BUT THESE
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR
BETTER DESTABILIZATION IN THIS AREA AS WELL.  A FEW SHOWERS HAVE
ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER 80S.  WITH MOST LOCATIONS
EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE MID 80S THIS AFTERNOON AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE AREA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

VERY WEAK WINDS AT ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL NOT ALLOW FOR
ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BUT GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
INSTABILITY A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRIEFLY PULSE UP TO
PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS.  DUE TO THE VERY SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS...TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY PERSIST IN SOME
LOCATIONS...CREATING THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING.

THE STORMS SHOULD COME TO AN END ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
THIS EVENING...BUT THEY MAY PERSIST AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW
OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE EXPECTED BRIEF
NATURE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 1:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 1999

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE LOCATED OVER
WESTERN OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY LATE TONIGHT.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR AND AHEAD OF THIS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DISCUSSION...
BOUNTIFUL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY
WARMED INTO THE LOWER 80S IN SOME LOCATIONS.  LOW CLOUDS HAVE
HINDERED WARMING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...BUT THESE
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR
BETTER DESTABILIZATION IN THIS AREA AS WELL.  A FEW SHOWERS HAVE
ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER 80S.  WITH MOST LOCATIONS
EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE MID 80S THIS AFTERNOON AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE AREA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

VERY WEAK WINDS AT ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL NOT ALLOW FOR
ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BUT GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
INSTABILITY A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRIEFLY PULSE UP TO
PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS.  DUE TO THE VERY SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS...TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY PERSIST IN SOME
LOCATIONS...CREATING THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING.

THE STORMS SHOULD COME TO AN END ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
THIS EVENING...BUT THEY MAY PERSIST AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW
OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE EXPECTED BRIEF
NATURE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 1999Flash Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 1999Every flash flood warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.