Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Warnings in 1999

Flash Flood Warning 66, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 20, 1999Mayes County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood warning at Jun 20, 1999, 5:40 AM CDT for Mayes County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 1999, 5:40 AM CDT (10:40 UTC)
Expired
Jun 20, 1999, 8:30 AM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Mayes County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 1999-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 1999-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1446 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUL 201046
FFWTUL
OKC097-201330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
540 AM CDT SUN JUN 20 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 830 AM CDT

* AT 540 AM CDT RADAR INDICATED THAT FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAD 
FALLEN FROM NEAR ADAIR TO SPAVINAW AND IN THE SALINA AND ROSE AREAS. 
PRYOR HAD RECEIVED AROUND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVERNIGHT. RADAR 
SHOWED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING OVER THE AREA WITH 
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. 

LANGLEY...PENSACOLA...ADAIR...SPAVINAW...SALINA AND PRYOR AND 
ADJACENT COMMUNITIES MAY BE AFFECTED BY FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL
ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE YOU ARE RELATIVE TO 
STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME KILLERS IN HEAVY 
RAINS. CAMPERS SHOULD BE PREPARED` TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF 
NEEDED. 

LAT...LON 3645 9533 3628 9533 3618 9504 3650 9504

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 20, 4:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 20, 4:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
400 AM CDT SUN JUN 20 1999

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
WILL THE CONVECTION BE SCATTERED OR NUMEROUS?
HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL?
CLOUDS
TEMPERATURES

H85 WAA PATTERN OVER ERN OK THIS MORNING HAS RESULTED IN ADDITIONAL
SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY. MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH ONE ANOTHER...BUT
ALL HAVE PERFORMED POORLY IN HANDLING PRECIP AND CLOUDS THE LAST FEW
RUNS. 00Z ETA HANDLES CURRENT PRECIP BEST...BUT DONT HAVE ANY FEEL
FOR ONE MODEL OR THE OTHER. ALL AGREE HOWEVER THAT WAA/ISENTROPIC
LIFT SHUTS OFF BY THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CONFINE POPS OVER MOST ZONES
TO MORNING AND GO AHEAD WITH HIGHEST POPS IN ERN ZONES. WONT USE ANY
TEMPORAL WORDING ACROSS SE OK AND WC AR AS MORE SUN AND HIGHER
INSTABILITIES MAY LEAD TO SOME TSRA THIS AFTERNOON. ATMOSPHERE LOOKS
TO REMAIN WEAKLY CAPPED FOR MONDAY. NO REAL FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE
INITIATION BUT A FEW LATE AFT STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESP OVER SE
OK AND NW AR. WILL GO AHEAD AND BROADBRUSH ALL ZONES WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS MON AND MON EVE. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...UNDERCUT GUIDANCE
FOR FIRST PERIOD TO ACCOUNT FOR MORE CLOUD COVER. THINK SE OK AND WC
AR WILL SEE MORE SUN SO DID NOT DEVIATE AS MUCH. LATER PERIODS LOOK
FAIRLY RESONABLE SO WILL STICK FAIRLY CLOSE.

IN THE EXTENDED...WEAKLY CAPPED ATMOSPHERE REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH
EXTENDED PERIOD. MODEL SOLUTIONS VARY TO SOME DEGREE WITH PLACEMENT
ANS STRENGTH OF UPPER RIDGE. MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO SUPPRESS RIDGE
TO THE SW U.S. STILL NO REAL FOCUS FOR CONVECTION BUT A WEAKLY CAPPED
ENVIRONMENT MAY LEAD TO SCT AFTERNOON TSRA WILL GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS.

FCSTID = 23
TUL   81  68  87  69 /  40  10  20  20
FSM   82  67  88  67 /  70  20  20  20
MLC   84  67  88  67 /  30  20  20  20
BVO   81  65  87  67 /  40  10  20  20
FYV   79  63  85  66 /  70  10  20  20
IDB   87  65  89  66 /  20  20  20  20
BYV   79  63  85  66 /  70  10  20  20
MIO   80  65  86  66 /  70  10  20  20
MKO   81  68  87  69 /  40  10  20  20
F10   81  68  87  69 /  40  10  20  20
HHW   87  65  89  66 /  20  20  20  20

.TUL...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

--------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS:  NONE
NGM CONFIDENCE:  5 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
ETA CONFIDENCE:  5 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  5 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 5 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 4:15 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACherokee3 hr
Jun 20, 6:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACherokee2 hr
Jun 20, 7:50 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSARogers3 hr
Jun 20, 7:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACraig3 hr
Jun 20, 8:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACherokee, Mayes2 hr
Jun 20, 10:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACraig, Nowata, Rogers2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 1999Every flash flood warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.