Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Raleigh, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
142 PM EDT MON SEP 6 1999

REMNANTS OF DENNIS AND WEAK IMPULSE ON SOUTH END ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL NCAROLINA...GENERATING QUITE A BIT OF RAIN WITH EMBEDED
TSTMS EASTERN HALF OF STATE.

WITH MAIN S/W ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS FINALLY LIFTING NORTHEAST AND WEAK
IMPULSE MOVES OFFSHORE EARLY EVENING...RAIN SHOULD COME TO AN END.
EVENTHOUGH MAIN CENTER LIFTS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM AREA...TROFINESS
REMAINS OVER THE MID ATLC REGION ALOFT/SURFACE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD. ANOTHER S/W IMPULSE DROPS SOUTHEAST FROM NORTHERN PLAINS
SHEARING/WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE AREA...MAIN ENERGY STAYING
NORTH. SIMILARLY SURFACE FRONT WEAKENS/HARD TO FIND BY THE TIME
REACHES THE CWA. THUS THINK BOTH MOS POPS ON THE HIGH SIDE FOR
TONIGHT.

SO FOR TONIGHT...PLENTY OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AROUND WILL RESULT IN
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT. THINK AREAS THAT CURRENTLY HAVE
BREAKS WILL FILL BACK IN WITH LOW CLOUDS/FOG TONIGHT. WILL LEAVE
SMALL CHANCE SHOWERS (TSTMS SLIM DUE TO CLOUD COVER) IN FOR IMPULSE
SKIRTING ACROSS. LOOKS LIKE BEST CHANCE MAINLY THIS EVENING. 15Z RUC
BRINGS WEAK RIDGING OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. MID TO UPPER 60S
REASONABLE ON TEMPERATURES.

TUESDAY...AFTER A CLOUDY START...SHOULD SEE MORE BREAKS. PLENTY OF
MOISURE STILL AROUND. THE COMBINATION OF AFTERNOON HEATING/TROUGH
OVER AREA WILL MAKE THINGS UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO GENERATE LOW CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES A BIT
TRICKY BUT WILL GO UNDER MOS DUE TO MOIST/WET GROUNDS FROM RECENT
HEAVY RAINS. A FEW SHOWERS/TSTM COULD LINGER INTO EARLY EVENING TUESDAY
OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY TUESDAY NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY...MORE SUNSHINE. WILL GO AT OR NEAR MOS.

EXTENDED....ANOTHER FRONT FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS. DRY
FOR SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER.

THATS IT. ENJOY THE EVENING.

.RAH...NONE.

RA