Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Phoenix, AZ

July 18, 1999Yuma County, Arizona

NWS Phoenix, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 18, 1999, 4:26 PM MST for Yuma County, Arizona. It was in force for 64 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 1999, 4:26 PM MST (23:26 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 1999, 5:30 PM MST
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Phoenix, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Yuma County, AZ

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 18, 4:38 PM MSTHail 0.75Tacna, AZDime size hail reported by spotter.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The text

The text of this product is not in the archive. The NWS text archive before 2002 is incomplete.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 18, 2:59 PM MST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 2:59 PM MST, 1 hour 27 minutes before
SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
945 AM MST SUN JUL 18 1999

.SYNOPSIS...
MOISTURE HAS RETURNED TO MOST OF THE REGION IN ONE FORM OR ANOTHER...
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING POSSIBLE MOST ANYWHERE. THE
MOISTURE RETURN CAME ABOUT AS A RESULT OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IN SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...MOIST OUTFLOWS FROM THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF
THE REGION LAST EVENING AND THE FLOW ALOFT TURNING MORE SOUTHERLY IN
RESPONSE TO A DISTURBANCE THAT MOVED THROUGH THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
ALONG THE WEST COAST. IN ADDITION...A DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHWARD
OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA HAS HELPED BRING MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DISCUSSION...
DEFINITE UPSWING IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AS MOISTURE SURGED BACK NWWD
INTO THE REGION. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE
IN MOST OF THE CWA NOW...WITH JUST THE RIVER ZONES AND YUMA LEFT OUT
FOR NOW. STORMS ON THE BAJA SPINE SHOULD NOT MOVE FAR ENOUGH NEWD TO
REACH THE YUMA AREA....WHILE THE SERN CA ZONES WILL SEE SOME ACTIVITY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS. MODELS ARE AT ODDS ABOUT KEEPING THE
MOISTURE OR DRYING THE REGION OUT. OPTING FOR THE WETTER CHOICE...AS
IT SEEMS IT WILL NOT DEVELOP A STRONG ENOUGH SWLY FLOW OVER THE AREA
TO SCOUR THINGS OUT. IN ADDITION...LOOKING OUT FOR VORT MAXIMA MOVING
NEWD IN THE FLOW TO CAUSE SOME PROBLEMS. JUST TOO HARD TO TIME THEM
TO REFINE THE FORECAST. SO...ZWILL USE A FAIRLY BROAD-BRUSHED FORECAST
APPROACH...STAYING A LITTLE MORE CONSERVATIVE THAN THE ETA BUT NOT AS
MUCH AS THE OTHER MODELS.  WILT

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 11:52 AM MST, 4 hours 34 minutes before
AZZ022>024-028-190640-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1152 AM MST SUN JUL 18 1999

...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY
RAIN POSSIBLE...IN NORTHERN MARICOPA...NORTHWEST PINAL AND SOUTHERN
GILA COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
TODAY AND TONIGHT...ENHANCING THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
HEAVY RAIN IN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS...INCLUDING THE METROPOLITAN
PHOENIX AREA. MOTORISTS AND OTHERS WITH OUTDOOR INTERESTS SHOULD BE
ALERT TO THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCAL FLOODING OF WASHES...HIGHWAY DIPS
AND OTHER NORMALLY DRY AREAS IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AS FORECAST.

THIS OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ONLY ON DAYS WHEN SOME
FORM OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SOMEWHERE OVER THE PHOENIX
AREA OF WARNING RESPONSIBILITY...WHICH INCLUDES SOUTH-CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ARIZONA AS WELL AS FAR SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

FOR PURPOSES OF THIS OUTLOOK HAZARDOUS WEATHER REFERS TO ANY OF THE
FOLLOWING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH RESULTS IN FLOODING AND
RUNNING WASHES...SAND OR DUST STORM WHICH REDUCES VISIBILITY TO ONE
QUARTER MILE OR LESS...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 57 MPH...AND HAIL
AT LEAST THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER.

WHEN HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING...THE PHOENIX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT LIFE-
SAVING INFORMATION IN THE FORM OF WARNINGS...FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS...
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY.

WILT
Special weather statement, Jul 18, 11:52 AM MST, 4 hours 34 minutes before
AZZ022>024-028-190640-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1152 AM MST SUN JUL 18 1999

...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY
RAIN POSSIBLE...IN NORTHERN MARICOPA...NORTHWEST PINAL AND SOUTHERN
GILA COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
TODAY AND TONIGHT...ENHANCING THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
HEAVY RAIN IN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS...INCLUDING THE METROPOLITAN
PHOENIX AREA. MOTORISTS AND OTHERS WITH OUTDOOR INTERESTS SHOULD BE
ALERT TO THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCAL FLOODING OF WASHES...HIGHWAY DIPS
AND OTHER NORMALLY DRY AREAS IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AS FORECAST.

THIS OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ONLY ON DAYS WHEN SOME
FORM OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SOMEWHERE OVER THE PHOENIX
AREA OF WARNING RESPONSIBILITY...WHICH INCLUDES SOUTH-CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ARIZONA AS WELL AS FAR SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

FOR PURPOSES OF THIS OUTLOOK HAZARDOUS WEATHER REFERS TO ANY OF THE
FOLLOWING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH RESULTS IN FLOODING AND
RUNNING WASHES...SAND OR DUST STORM WHICH REDUCES VISIBILITY TO ONE
QUARTER MILE OR LESS...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 57 MPH...AND HAIL
AT LEAST THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER.

WHEN HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING...THE PHOENIX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT LIFE-
SAVING INFORMATION IN THE FORM OF WARNINGS...FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS...
AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY.

WILT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Phoenix, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 4:16 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSRGila119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data.