Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Missoula, MT

July 17, 1999Missoula County, Montana

NWS Missoula, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 17, 1999, 5:35 PM MDT for Missoula County, Montana. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 1999, 5:35 PM MDT (23:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 1999, 6:00 PM MDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
NWS Missoula, MT
Area
Whole counties

County Missoula County, MT

The nearest sounding before it

Spokane, WA (KOTX), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 1999-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 1999-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1766 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KMSO 172337 RRA
SVRMSO
MTC063-180000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
535 PM MDT SAT JUL 17 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MISSOULA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL MISSOULA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MONTANA

* UNTIL 600 PM MDT

* AT 535 PM MDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES      
  NORTHWEST OF CLEARWATER JUNCTION...OR 29 MILES NORTHEAST OF        
  MISSOULA...  MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER SEELEY LAKE AT 545 PM MDT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL ALONG WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...STAY
INDOORS AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 17, 2:05 PM MDT, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 17, 2:05 PM MDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
WESTERN MONTANA AND NORTH CENTRAL IDAHO FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
205 PM MDT SAT JUL 17 1999

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CWA THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTION EXPECTED TO INCREASE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AIR MASS QUITE UNSTABLE WITH STRONG DYNAMICS
SHIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT. THE UPPER LOW SYSTEM WILL
OPEN UP INTO A TROUGH WITH A STRONG VORT MAX SWINGING INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS GOING
OVERNIGHT NORTH...WHILE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING
FARTHER SOUTH. MOS POP GUIDANCE PRETTY HIGH...AND PREFER SCATTERED
POPS TO HANDLE ACTIVITY TONIGHT.

AIR MASS TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE WITH RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND
DYNAMICS HANGING ON NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER SUNDAY...UNDER A WEAK
UPPER TROUGH. ELSEWHERE...A MORE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WITH SHORT
WAVE RIDGING TO TAKE PLACE AHEAD OF A CLOSED LOW SYSTEM DEVELOPING
OFF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST. WILL TAKE ALL MENTION OF POPS OUT
OF THE SOUTHERN ZONE FORECAST SUNDAY.

MONDAY LOOKS LIKE A DRY...WARMER DAY UNDER A SHORT WAVE RIDGE WITH
A SOUTHERN FLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER...SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE ORIGINATING
FROM THE CLOSED LOW OFF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST MAY CREEP UP
INTO THE EXTREME SOUTH PART OF CWA LATE. WILL MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS IN LEMHI COUNTY AND BUTTE AREAS MONDAY.
JOHNSON

EXTENDED...SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER CWFA THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS NOT CONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN IN DEALING WITH
WAVES EJECTING OUT OF MAIN WEST COAST TROUGH.  EVEN THOUGH GENERAL
UPPER FLOW REMAINS ANTICYCLONIC...PERIODIC WEAK WAVE ENERGY THROUGH
OUR AREA IS PROBABLE.  SO APPEARS TO BE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LATE
DAY THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.             WHITMORE

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.