Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Twin Cities, MN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
330 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 1999

WDLY SCT SVR CONVECTION FIRING ALG DRY LN ACRS CNTRL MN ZONE FCST
AREA...SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL IA.  IA CONVECTION MOST LKLY HELPED
ALG BY DVLPG LEFT EXIT RGN OF 100KT JETLET SWERVING NNEWD.  FAIRBURY
WIND PROFILER SHOWING 120KT WNDS AT 25H. TORNADO WATCH COVERS ALMOST
ALL OF MN ZFA EXCEPT FOR FIVE WRN COUNTIES BEHIND DRY LN.  EXPC
CONVECTION TO INCREASE ACRS ERN MN CWA THROUGH 00Z.  CONVECTION
BEGINNING TO TAKE ON BOW CONFIGURATION WEST OF RFD IN SWRN WI/NRN
IL...SHOULD CONT TO THE ENE.  BULK OF ACTIVITY MAY MISS WI ZFA UNTIL
MN CONVECTION PUSHES IN LATER THIS EVENING.  CLOSED CIRCULATION IN
NRN SD WL BRING SCT-BKN SC SHIELD INTO NRN MN ZFA DRNG NGT AS IT
LIFTS NWD.  FEW -SHRA MAY ACCOMPANY THIS STRONG FEATURE BUT WL HOLD
OFF ON ANY MENTION OF THUNDER.

THERMAL RIDGE AND HUMIDITY RETURNS ON TUE WITH DIFLUENT THICKNESS b
OVER WRN AREA IN THE AFTN.  JET DYNAMICS NOT NEARLY AS STRONG BUT
ENOUGH TO WARRANT SML POP.

.MSP...NONE.
KAVINSKY

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-070200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1155 AM CDT SUN JUN 6 1999

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER STILL EXISTS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL
AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS NOT
QUITE AS GREAT IN FAR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA FROM NEAR
MOORHEAD TO MORRIS TO MARSHALL.  THIS COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT INTO
CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY EARLY EVENING...AND THEN INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN
OVERNIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT WITH SOME OF
THE STORMS BECOMING SEVERE. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
OVER CENTRAL INTO EASTERN MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO WESTERN
WISCONSIN THIS EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS
WELL.

SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA. PERSONS IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN
WISCONSIN SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
THIS EVENING...AND BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER SHOULD WARNINGS BE
NECESSARY.

KAVINSKY