Alert archive / Oregon / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Medford, OR

August 10, 1999Jackson County, Josephine County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 10, 1999, 4:18 PM PDT for Jackson County, Josephine County, Oregon. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 1999, 4:18 PM PDT (23:18 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 1999, 5:20 PM PDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR
Area
Whole counties

Counties Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 1999-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 948 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 1999-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
948 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-183 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
924 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KMFR 102321 RRA
SVRMFR
ORC029-033-110020-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
418 PM PDT TUE AUG 10 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN JOSEPHINE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN
  OREGON
  WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN
  OREGON

* UNTIL 520 PM PDT

* AT 417 PM PDT... MEDFORD DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORM 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CENTRAL POINT OR 4 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF APPLEGATE... MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PROVOLT AT 433 PM PDT
  APPLEGATE AT 450 PM PDT

DAMAGING WINDS...vHEAVY DOWNPOUR AND LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY. GO INSIDE
A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

FB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 10, 2:30 PM PDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 2:30 PM PDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
SOUTHWEST OREGON/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
230 PM PDT TUE AUG 10 1999

12Z NGM/ETA/AVN IN.

THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM IS SEVERE CONVECTION NOW IN PROGRESS.

UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW NOW CENTERED OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AND IS IN
THE PROCESS OF LIFTING BACK INTO THE WESTERLIES.  MODEL SOLUTIONS
APPEAR TO HAVE A GOOD GRIP ON THIS FEATURE...AND BOTH BRING THE UPPER
LOW TO NEAR THE NEVADA/CALIFORNIA/OREGON TRIPLE POINT AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT.  THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE ON TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

ANALYSIS OF THE 12Z SOUNDING SHOWS LOTS MORE AVAILABLE MOISTURE TODAY
AND COOLING ALOFT AS WELL.  AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES HAVE GENERATED
PLENTY OF LIFT WITH LOTS OF CAPE.  SO...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED AND WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE WEE HOURS OF WEDNESDAY.  WINDS
ALOFT ARE WEAK SO SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERATE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS.

CONDITIONS WILL STABILIZE RAPIDLY EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES
EAST AND IS REPLACED BY A WEAK UPPER TROUGH.

AT LOW LEVELS...ONCE THE LOW EXITS TONIGHT A MORE TYPICAL SUMMER
PATTERN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA WITH ONSHORE FLOW DIURNALLY
PEAKING IN THE EVENING HOURS AND TROUGHING IN THE MORNING.  SOME WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW MAY DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTH COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THE
TROUGH ALOFT SHOULD ASSIST IN INCREASING THE DEPTH OF THE MARINE
LAYER...SO LOOK FOR LOTS MORE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN THE UMPQUA
BASIN...DONT THINK IT WILL MAKE IT TO THE ROGUE BASIN DURING THE
NEXT FEW NIGHTS.

ON THURSDAY...A FAIRLY STRONG SHORT WAVE WILL AMPLIFY THE COASTAL
TROUGH AND MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS TO SISKIYOU/MODOC COUNTY THURSDAY
EVENING.  MOST OF THE ENERGY WILL BE TO THE SOUTH.  FOR NOW...WILL
JUST GO FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN THE CALIFORNIA ZONES THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

STOCKTON

.MFR...NONE.

MFR UU 060/085 057/083 058 157000
LMT UU 052/080 047/077 049 158000
RBG BB 058/078 057/077 057 153000
4BK CC 055/064 054/064 054 151110
OTH CC 056/067 055/067 055 151110
YKA UU 046/086 040/085 042 158000
MHS UU 054/080 048/077 050 158000
AAT UU 049/082 049/079 047 158000

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 10, 3:48 PM PDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OREGON
348 PM PDT TUE AUG 10 1999

TIME(PDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0346 PM    SELMA                     OR   .88 INCH HAIL
08/10/99   JOSEPHINE                      SPOTTER J038 REPORTS DIME
                                          TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 8:57 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFRJackson33 min
Aug 10, 1:25 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFRJackson30 min
Aug 10, 2:22 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFRJackson63 min
Aug 10, 3:29 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFRJosephine61 min
Aug 10, 3:58 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFRJackson92 min
Aug 10, 4:41 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMFRJosephine59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oregon, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.