Severe Thunderstorm Warning 158, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
231 PM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

DRYLINE EVOLVING EWD ATTM UNDERNEATH RIDGE PATTERN ALOFT. DWPNTS
INTO THE 30S AT KINK WHILE M50S KMAF. DRYLINE TO BE POSITIONED ACROSS
ERN CWA LATE AFTERNOON AS INTENSE SURFACE HEATING CONTINUES TO MIX
DRIER AIR TO THE SURFACE. ETA DEPICTS WEAKNESS IN CINH FIELDS ALONG/E
OF DRYLINE WHICH IS TO BE IN ERN CWA COINCIDENT WITH CAPES ON ORDER
OF 1000-1500 J/KG...ERGO, ISOLD/WDLY SCT POPS E. MTN TSTMS APPEAR
LESS FAVORABLE TODAY AS CONDITIONS DRIER/MORE STABLE THAN PAST FEW
DAYS. HOWEVER WILL INCLUDE ISOLD POPS AS VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWING CU
FORMING AND FIRE WX OBS FROM BIG BEND INDICATE DWPNTS STILL IN 40S.
WARM PATTERN TO PERSIST ACROSS W TX/SE NM PER MID LEVEL RIDGE AND 7H
TEMPS OF 13-16 DEGREES C...WILL CONTINUE TREND OF DRY FCST THRU
WEDNESDAY. WILL GO WITH GENERALLY PC SKIES AS SW FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES
TO BRING MID/UPPER LEVEL PACIFIC MSTR INTO REGION. ATTM WOULD INCLUDE
SLIGHT CHC POPS IN EXTENDED AS UPPER TROF OVER SW USA APPROACHES
BACKING FLOW AND BRINGING MSTR BACK W WITH SOME COOLING IN MID LEVEL
NOTED. WZIS.

MAF 67/98/66/99  -/-/-/-
CNM 67/99/65/98  -/-/-/-
MRF 56/90/57/90  -/-/-/-
P07 68/97/69/97  -/-/-/-

GPM

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