Flash Flood Warning 82, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
945 AM CDT (845 AM MDT) SAT JUL 10 1999

MOIST AND UNSTABLE SOUNDING THIS MORNING AT KMAF WITH LIFTED INDEX
OF MINUS 6...CAPE ABOVE 3000 J/KG...AND PRECIP WATER VALUES ABOVE
1.5 INCHES.  COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AND ALONG
I-10 WEST OF THE PECOS HAS BEEN FOCUS FOR THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS
SO FAR THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SLOW MOVING TRAINING STORMS SHOULD COMBINE WITH CURRENT INSTABILITIES
AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS TO CONTINUE THE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED AREAS OF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS MOST OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

RRF/01

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-110500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
525 AM CDT (425 AM MDT) SAT JUL 10 1999

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS:
A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM NEAR CHILDRESS TO JUST SOUTH OF LUBBOCK
AND ROSWELL NEW MEXICO. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
STATES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS EARLY TODAY
ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PERMIAN BASIN NORTH
OF MIDLAND TEXAS...DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTH LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BECOME SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PERMIAN BASIN...STOCKTON PLATEAU....AND BIG
BEND. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT LIKELY DUE TO WEAK STEERING WINDS
ALOFT...HOWEVER FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT DUE TO A VERY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE ALONG WITH WEAK STEERING WINDS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER THOSE INTERESTS
SENSITIVE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT.

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