Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
215 PM EST TUE SEP 28 1999

SFC ANALYSIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS CD FRONT FROM S OF LM SW TO
JUST N OF KSTL SW TO EXTREME E OK. 88D RETURNS SHOW PCPN STILL
DEFINED BEHIND THE FRONT...OVR W IL AND N MO. FRONT HAS NOT MOVED
MUCH SINCE YESTERDAY. H2O VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS VORT MAX AND DEEPENING
UPPER LVL TROF OVR E CO.

FCST CHALLENGE TDY WILL BE TIMING OF PCPN INTO THE FA TONIGHT/WED AND
IT/S DEPARTURE ON WED/THURS.

ETA/NGM IN GOOD AGREEMENT. AVN HANDLED THE FRONT A BIT
QUICKLY...PUSHING IT EAST OF FCST AREA OVERNIGHT. ETA/NGM LOOKS A BIT
BETTER...SLOWLY PUSHING CD FRONT THROUGH KIND MORE TOWARD 12Z WED.
VORT MAX OVER CO WILL BE OUR KICKER FOR THIS SYS...AS IT DEVELOPS A
LOW PRES AREA THAT WL MOVE UP AND ALONG THE CD FRONT AND PUSH THE SYS
EAST. NGM/ETA HAS BEST CURRENT POSITION...WHILE AVN IS A BIT FURTHER
SOUTH AND MOVED THE VORT A BIT QUICKER. THUS WL GO WITH A ETA/NGM
BLEND...AND BRING IN BETTER POPS OVERNIGHT...AND BEST POPS ON WED.

STILL A LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH THIS SYS...AND WHEN THE SYS REACH
IT WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACRS AREA ON WED. CAA IS ON WED AND WITH
EXPECTED CLD COVER AND PCPN IN AREA...TEMPS WILL NOT RISE OVER COURSE
OF THE DAY. GOOD NVA RESULTING IN SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING ON THE BACK
SIDE OF VORT. THIS COULD LIMIT THE PCPN AMOUNTS...ESP ACRS THE
SOUTHWESTERN AREAS. TIME SECTIONS SHOW THIS SUBSIDENCE STARTING WED
NIGHT WITH DRYER AIR ARRIVING ON THURS...BUT STILL SHOULD SEE SOME
CLDS LINGERING IN WAKE OF SYS.

H8 TEMPS AROUND 2-3C ACRS AREA ON THURS. ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE SOME
WAA BEGINNING ON THURS...FWC TEMPS LOOK TOO HIGH.

IN THE SHORT TERM FOR THIS EVE...SAT PIX SHOW DEVELOPING CU AND
SURROUND RADARS SHOWING SOME SCT -RWS DEVELOPING ACRS FA. EXPECT THIS
DIURNAL -RWS TO BEGIN TO DIE AFTER SUNSET...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY.

.IND...NONE.
PUMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
643 PM EST TUE SEP 28 1999

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0620 PM    WEST LAFAYETTE            IN     MPH TSTM GUST
09/28/99   TIPPECANOE                      STATE POLICE REPORTED
                                           TREES DOWN ACROSS
                                           SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN
                                           WEST LAFAYETTE.

0621 PM    MONTMORENCIE              IN     MPH TSTM GUST
09/28/99   TIPPECANOE                      STATE POLICE REPORTED A
                                           LARGE TREE DOWN IN
                                           MONTMORENCIE.

0623 PM    LAFAYETTE                 IN    1.75 INCH HAIL
09/28/99   TIPPECANOE                      GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL
                                           REPORTED AT THE STATE
                                           POLICE POST.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
646 PM EST TUE SEP 28 1999

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0620 PM    WEST LAFAYETTE            IN    WIND DAMAGE
09/28/99   TIPPECANOE                      STATE POLICE REPORTED
                                           TREES DOWN ACROSS
                                           SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN
                                           WEST LAFAYETTE.

0621 PM    MONTMORENCIE              IN    WIND DAMAGE
09/28/99   TIPPECANOE                      STATE POLICE REPORTED A
                                           LARGE TREE DOWN IN
                                           MONTMORENCIE.

0623 PM    LAFAYETTE                 IN    1.75 INCH HAIL
09/28/99   TIPPECANOE                      GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL
                                           REPORTED AT THE STATE
                                           POLICE POST.

ENTRIES SHOULD BE OF THE WIND DAMAGE VARIETY

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