Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
235 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999

CD FNT PASSING EARLY TONIGHT...WITH CLEARING SKIES FROM UPPER LEVELS
DOWN DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS. THOUGHTS RIGHT NOW IS THAT OVERNIGHT
MOISTURE WILL BE SLOW TO EXIT FROM H8 DOWN TO SFC AND COULD SEE CLOUD
COVER THROUGH EARLY PART OF MORNING IN MOST AREAS. REGARDLESS OF
CLOUDS...COLD PUNCH FAIRLY STRONG AND H8 TEMPS INDICATE OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S WITH CAA ON NORTH WINDS.

TOMORROW...H8 RIDGE BUILDS TO WEST AT 12Z WITH CLEARING ALONG AND
BEHIND IT. RIDGE FLATTENS OUT OVERTOP CWA AT 18Z ALTHOUGH ETA WANTS TO
HOLD ONTO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN CNTL OH. CURU FROM ETA SUGGESTS MOCY
EAST...WITH CLEARING WEST AND WILL GO WITH THAT THINKING. NGM DOESNT
CU DUE TO THE APPARENT LACK OF MOISTURE...BUT I THINK THAT COLD POOL
ALOFT SHOULD BE ENOUGH...AND IF NOT...FETCH FROM LHON AND WRN LERI
COULD BE FAVORABLE IN EAST FOR CLOUDS AT LEAST THROUGH MORNING.

SFC HI QUICKLY MOVES EAST ACROS CWFA THURS...AND WAA MAKES A RETURN TO
CWA LATER THURS AND THRU OVERNITE HOURS. MO CLR SHOULD SUFFICE FOR
LATTER PERIODS ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE LOWS SEEM TOO LOW. WILL BUMP OVERNIGHT
READINGS A FEW AS H8 RETURN FLOW IS ALREADY ESTABLISHED BY EVENING.
OTHERWISE...RETURN TO ZONAL FLOW AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS LIKELY. WITH
EXCEPTION OF CLOUDS EARLY TOMORROW AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN 3RD PD...
GUIDANCE IS CLOSE AND WILL NOT STRAY MUCH.

MAY GET FANCY WITH PACKAGE IN NORTHWEST AND TRY TO CLEAR COUNTIES FROM
WATCH BEFORE ISSUANCE...BUT WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT LOOKS REASONABLE.

MISILN OUT MOMENTARILY.

.ILN...NONE

FRANKS

OHZ026-034-035-042-043-132005-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
350 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE CONCENTRATED ALONG A LINE HAVE
MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. NO ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED IN
DARKE...MERCER...AUGLAIZE...SHELBY...AND HARDIN COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL OHIO THIS AFTERNOON.

.END/FRANKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OHIO
401 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0330 PM    KETTERING                 OH   .75 INCH HAIL
10/13/99   MONTGOMERY

0357 PM    JAMESTOWN                 OH   .75 INCH HAIL
10/13/99   GREENE

WILKINSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OHIO
401 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0330 PM    KETTERING                 OH   .75 INCH HAIL
10/13/99   MONTGOMERY

0357 PM    JAMESTOWN                 OH   .75 INCH HAIL
10/13/99   GREENE

WILKINSON

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