Tornado Warning 23, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
245 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

WEATHER TONIGHT AND TEMPERATURES THEREAFTER WILL BE THE CONCERN WITH
THIS PACKAGE.

THE LATEST SURFACE CHART SHOWED A COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS
AND A DRY LINE RUNNING SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
STATE.  THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE
TONIGHT AND BE JUST OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS AROUND F24.  WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY PRESENT...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS
...SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IS DEFINITELY A
POSSIBILITY.  MODIFIED SOUNDINGS YIELDED CAPES NEAR 4000 AND THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER STORMS IS MAKING FOR AN INTERESTING
WIND PROFILE.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND TORRENTIAL
RAINS WITH HIGH WINDS AND AN ISOLATED WEAK TORNADO POSSIBLE.  ONCE
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN FILTER INTO
THE REGION AND BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER.

EXTENDED...
IT LOOKS PRETTY QUIET AT THE ONSET OF THE EXTENDED WITH HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATING.  BUT...ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO BLAST INTO
THE REGION SIMILAR TO THIS ONE EARLY NEXT WEEK.  SO...ANOTHER CHANCE
FOR COOL AIR AND PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER...I WILL NOT ADD IT TOO THE EXTENDED AT THIS TIME WITH THE
INCONSISTENCY IN TIMING OF THE FRONT.  LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE A
BETTER FEEL AND MAY ADD A CHANCE AT A LATER TIME.

FCSTID = 1
ICT   62  82  54  84 /  50  20   0   5
HUT   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
EWK   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
EQA   62  82  54  84 /  50  20   0   5
WLD   62  82  54  84 /  50  20   0   5
RSL   57  79  50  80 /  30   0   0  10
GBD   57  79  50  80 /  30   0   0  10
SLN   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
MPR   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
CFV   63  82  54  84 /  50  30   0   5
CNU   62  81  54  83 /  50  30   0   5
K88   62  81  54  83 /  50  30   0   5

.ICT...NONE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1029 AM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0930 AM    6 SW ATTICA               KS   HIGH WINDS
09/07/99   HARPER                         DOWNED NUMEROUS TREE
                                          LIMBS - REPORTED BY
                                          AGTAP OBSERVER
KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1029 AM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0930 AM    6 SW ATTICA               KS   HIGH WINDS
09/07/99   HARPER                         DOWNED NUMEROUS TREE
                                          LIMBS - REPORTED BY
                                          AGTAP OBSERVER
KED

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-081200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1213 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KANSAS:
BARTON      COWLEY      HARVEY      MARION      RENO     SEDGWICK
ELLSWORTH   KINGMAN     MCPHERSON   RUSSELL     SUMNER   CHASE
HARPER      LINCOLN     RICE        SALINE      BUTLER

AND IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS:
ALLEN       ELK         LABETTE     NEOSHO      WOODSON
CHAUTAUQUA  GREENWOOD   MONTGOMERY  WILSON

SYNOPSIS:
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE INTO MID-AFTERNOON...MAINLY
BETWEEN WICHITA AND SALINA. A FEW WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH MARBLE TO DIME SIZE HAIL.

A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE SOUTH INTO NORTHERN KANSAS
BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH A DRY LINE TROUGH MOVING EAST INTO CENTRAL
KANSAS. A MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS BY EARLY EVENING...AND THEN
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND SHEAR PROFILES AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED SUPERCELL
STORMS WITH BRIEF TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

DARMOFAL

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-081200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1213 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KANSAS:
BARTON      COWLEY      HARVEY      MARION      RENO     SEDGWICK
ELLSWORTH   KINGMAN     MCPHERSON   RUSSELL     SUMNER   CHASE
HARPER      LINCOLN     RICE        SALINE      BUTLER

AND IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS:
ALLEN       ELK         LABETTE     NEOSHO      WOODSON
CHAUTAUQUA  GREENWOOD   MONTGOMERY  WILSON

SYNOPSIS:
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE INTO MID-AFTERNOON...MAINLY
BETWEEN WICHITA AND SALINA. A FEW WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH MARBLE TO DIME SIZE HAIL.

A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE SOUTH INTO NORTHERN KANSAS
BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH A DRY LINE TROUGH MOVING EAST INTO CENTRAL
KANSAS. A MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS BY EARLY EVENING...AND THEN
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND SHEAR PROFILES AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED SUPERCELL
STORMS WITH BRIEF TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

DARMOFAL