Severe Thunderstorm Warning 212, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
245 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

WEATHER TONIGHT AND TEMPERATURES THEREAFTER WILL BE THE CONCERN WITH
THIS PACKAGE.

THE LATEST SURFACE CHART SHOWED A COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS
AND A DRY LINE RUNNING SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
STATE.  THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE
TONIGHT AND BE JUST OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS AROUND F24.  WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY PRESENT...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS
...SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IS DEFINITELY A
POSSIBILITY.  MODIFIED SOUNDINGS YIELDED CAPES NEAR 4000 AND THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER STORMS IS MAKING FOR AN INTERESTING
WIND PROFILE.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND TORRENTIAL
RAINS WITH HIGH WINDS AND AN ISOLATED WEAK TORNADO POSSIBLE.  ONCE
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN FILTER INTO
THE REGION AND BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER.

EXTENDED...
IT LOOKS PRETTY QUIET AT THE ONSET OF THE EXTENDED WITH HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATING.  BUT...ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO BLAST INTO
THE REGION SIMILAR TO THIS ONE EARLY NEXT WEEK.  SO...ANOTHER CHANCE
FOR COOL AIR AND PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER...I WILL NOT ADD IT TOO THE EXTENDED AT THIS TIME WITH THE
INCONSISTENCY IN TIMING OF THE FRONT.  LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE A
BETTER FEEL AND MAY ADD A CHANCE AT A LATER TIME.

FCSTID = 1
ICT   62  82  54  84 /  50  20   0   5
HUT   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
EWK   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
EQA   62  82  54  84 /  50  20   0   5
WLD   62  82  54  84 /  50  20   0   5
RSL   57  79  50  80 /  30   0   0  10
GBD   57  79  50  80 /  30   0   0  10
SLN   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
MPR   60  80  55  81 /  40   0   0  10
CFV   63  82  54  84 /  50  30   0   5
CNU   62  81  54  83 /  50  30   0   5
K88   62  81  54  83 /  50  30   0   5

.ICT...NONE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
429 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR
SKYWARN SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.82 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED ON 146.94 AND
145.13 MHZ.

CHANCE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
429 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR
SKYWARN SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.82 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED ON 146.94 AND
145.13 MHZ.

CHANCE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.......CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
442 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR
SKYWARN SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN4 OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.13 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED ON 146.94 AND
145.82 MHZ.

CHANCE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.......CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
442 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR
SKYWARN SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN4 OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.13 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED ON 146.94 AND
145.82 MHZ.

CHANCE