Flash Flood Warning 47, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 28 1999

RAIN AND TEMPS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN THIS PACKAGE.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO TRAIN ALONG THE 850MB FRONT WHICH EXTENDS
JUST SOUTH OF P28 TO JUST NORTH OF CNU.  HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAD ALSO FIRED UP ALONG THE 700MB FRONT OVERNIGHT
WHICH EXTENDS BACK ACROSS WESTERN KS AND INTO EASTERN NE.  ALTHOUGH
THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE TODAY...EXPECT THE
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA UNTIL
BOTH FRONTS PUSH SOUTH AND EAST.  OF COURSE...HEAVIEST RAINS WILL
FALL ACROSS SE KS AND PARTS OF SC KS ALONG 850MB FRONT...AND WITH A
FAIRLY STRONG S/W STILL EXPECTED TO EJECT OUT INTO KS THIS EVENING
WHICH MAY HELP SLOW THE FRONT AND ALLOW IT TO LINGER ALONG AND JUST
SOUTH OF THE KS TURNPIKE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  TRAINING ALONG THE
FRONT...AS WELL AS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION WILL MAKE FLASH
FLOODING A BIG CONCERN SO WILL GO AHEAD WITH A FFA TODAY FOR AREAS
ALONG AND EAST OF THE KS TURNPIKE.

NEXT CONCERN IS WHEN PRECIP WILL END AND CLEARING BEGIN.  ENDING
PRECIP WILL BE TRICKY...AS PREV MENTIONED S/W IS NOT EXPECTED TO
PUSH COMPLETELY THROUGH THE AREA UNTIL WED MORNING. WILL BREAK
CENTRAL KS UP AND CONTINUE A POP FOR EASTERN SECTIONS ON SOUTH INTO
SC KS FOR THIS EVENING...AND KEEP THE HIGH POPS GOING THROUGHOUT THE
NIGHT FOR SE KS.  EXPECT SOME CLEARING IN RSL ARE BY EVENING...AND
POSSIBLY SLN /HUT AREAS SHORTLY AFT MIDNIGHT...WITH THE REST OF THE
SC KS SEEING CLEARING TOWARDS DAWN. SE KS WILL LIKELY SEE MORNING
CLDS WITH SOME SUN BEFORE NOON.   OTHERWISE...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
EXPECTED ON WED ACROSS THE REGION.  WOULD EXPECT THAT FOG COULD BE A
CONCERN WED NIGHT AND THURS MORNING...BUT WILL NOT ADD THAT TO THE
EXTENDED FCST ATTM.

AS FOR TEMPS...CLOUD COVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO KEEP LIMITED TO THE
50S TODAY.  CLEARING SKIES MAY ALLOW RSL AND SURROUNDING AREAS TO
DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S...HOWEVER WOULD EXPECT THAT REST OF THE CWA
WILL REMAIN IN THE 40S.  FAN NUMBERS OF 32 FOR RSL TONIGHT...A
LITTLE TOO COOL...SO FWC NUMBERS COOL BETTER.  GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE
IN CLOSER RANGE AFTER TONIGHT AND FAIRLY CLOSE TO ON-GOING FCST SO
NO BIG CHANGES EXPECT.

NOONAN

ICT   56  45  66  46 / 100  30   0   0
HUT   56  43  66  46 / 100  30   0   0
EWK   56  44  65  46 / 100  30   0   0
EQA   56  45  64  46 / 100  30   0   0
WLD   56  46  65  46 / 100  30   0   0
RSL   52  38  67  43 /  80  10   0   0
GBD   52  39  67  43 /  80  10   0   0
SLN   52  40  65  45 / 100  30   0   0
MPR   52  41  65  45 / 100  30   0   0
CFV   57  45  63  43 / 100  60   0   0
CNU   57  44  62  43 / 100  60   0   0
K88   57  44  62  43 / 100  60   0   0

.ICT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR ZONES
KSZ069>072...KSZ083...KSZ092>096...KSZ098>100.