Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 PM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

TNGT:
HIGH-SCORING BALLGAME SLATED ALL AREAS, ESPECIALLY CNTRL & SC KS, AS
COLD FRONT DRAPED W-E ACRS NRN KS SAGS S INTO CNTRL KS TOWARD RICHER
SFC-850MB MSTR. WITH STRENGTHENING 500-300MB S/W VENTURING E OVR WRN
PLNS DIRECTIONAL SHEAR REMAINS DEEP AND PRONOUNCED. AS DISCUSSED IN
SWODY1, SUPERCELLULAR CONVECTION LIKELY, WARRANTING CONTD POSSIBLY
SEVERE DESCRIPTOR ALL AREAS WITH POPS INCRD TO 80% ALL SXNS. HRLY &
3-HRLY FFGS IN 1.0-1.5 RANGE W/ PWS OF 150-180% NORMAL ALL WARRANT
FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALL BUT NW CORRIDOR. MOS MINS LOOK KOSHER.

TUE:
COLD FRONT NEARLY STALLING SW-NE ACRS KS EARLY IN MRNG TO SURGE E AS
UPSTAIRS S/W EJECTS E ACRS KS. POP FCST TO REFLECT THIS I.E. KEEPING
HIGHEST POPS SE (60%) W/ EMPHASIS ON MRNG, 40% ERN 1/2 CNTRL & SC KS
W/ NW CORRIDOR DRY. CLEARING SKIES IN WAKE OF FRONTAL PASSAGE COUPLED
WITH ONSET OF DOWNSLOPE COMP TO ENABLE MAXES TO REACH MOS LVLS CNTRL
& SC SXNS WITH FWC UNDERCUT SLGTLY SE.

TUE NGT:
MOCLEAR WX SLATED ALL AREAS AS AMPLIFYING UPSTAIRS RIDGE APPROACHES.
HWVR, ABUNDANT RESIDUAL MSTR & WEAKENING SFC GRAD WARRANTS MENTION
OF BR DVLPMT TOWARD MRNG ALL BUT NW CORRIDOR. FAN AND FWC MATCHING ON
MINS & FOLLOWED THIS GUID.

WED:
MOISTENING SE FLOW RETURNS IN RESPONSE TO RAPIDLY DEEPENING WRN PLNS
SFC-850 MB TROF. HWVR, N-S ORIENTED UPSTAIRS RIDGE PRECLUDES ANY CHC
FOR PCPN SO WL GO W/ DRY FCST ALL AREAS. RESIDUAL MSTR TO BE SUFF TO
POP CU BY EARLY AFTN THUS WARRANTING BIAS TOWARD COOLER FAN SOLU-
TION ALL BUT NW CORRIDOR WHERE IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO STRONG 850-MB
THERMAL RIDGE.
ES

COORD: TOP, SGF, DDC.

FCSTID = 4
ICT   63  83  61  84 /  80  30   0   0
HUT   63  83  60  84 /  80  30   0   0
EWK   63  83  60  84 /  80  30   0   0
EQA   63  83  61  84 /  80  30   0   0
WLD   63  83  61  84 /  80  30   0   0
RSL   60  81  58  87 /  80   0   0   0
GBD   60  81  58  87 /  80   0   0   0
SLN   60  83  59  86 /  80  40   0   0
MPR   60  83  59  86 /  80  40   0   0
CFV   65  82  60  83 /  80  60   0   0
CNU   65  82  60  83 /  80  60   0   0
K88   65  82  60  83 /  80  60   0   0

.ICT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES KSZ049...KSZ051>053
...KSZ067>072...KSZ082>083...KSZ091>096...KSZ098>100.

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-010115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
747 PM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR SKYWARN
SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.94 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED AT 146.82 AND 145.13
MHZ.

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-010115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
747 PM CDT MON MAY 31 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR SKYWARN
SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.94 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED AT 146.82 AND 145.13
MHZ.