Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
230 PM EDT THU MAY 13 1999

VORT MAX SEEN SPINNING INTO CENTRAL TN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS
PROGGED TO SLOWLY CHURN ACROSS THE WRN CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY
FRIDAY. LOBES OF DPVA COMBINED WITH INSTABILITY AND LOW WBZ HEIGHTS
TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL WHILE MODERATE DRY
PUNCH AT MID LEVELS COULD ALLOW FOR NEAR SEVERE WIND GUSTS. COUPLED
DIVERGENCE WITH THE UPPER JETS STAYS MAINLY ALONG NC/VA BORDER...
PROVIDING SUPPORT FARTHER N THAN MAIN INSTABILITY OVERNIGHT.

WILL MENTION MAINLY RAIN FRI BUT WITH TSTM PSBL OVER SRN PORTIONS
WITH UPPER COLD POOL PASSAGE AND CONVERGENCE WITH LOW. DEEP MOIST NE
FLOW DEVELOPS IN WAKE OF LOW WITH LOW LEVEL THCK FALLS TOMORROW.
EASTERLY COMPONENT COULD YIELD UPSLOPE FLOW AND LIGHT RAIN FOR FRI
NIGHT WHILE WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT MAY AFFECT EASTERN PIEDMONT SECTION
THROUGH EARLY SAT.

TEMPS AND POPS WILL BE MUCH MORE IN LINE WITH COOLER WETTER FAN GIVEN
STRENGTH OF UPPER LOW AND COOL ADVECTION BEHIND SYSTEM. ONLY DEVIATION
WILL BE WARMER OVERNIGHT MINS TONIGHT GIVEN CURRENT DEWPOINTS AND
UPSTREAM PRECIP.

WRKGSP TO CAE AROUND 315 PM.

AVL 56/67/52/68 6642
CLT 61/70/52/67 6753
GSP 60/70/53/68 6642

.GSP...NONE.

HG

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