Severe Thunderstorm Warning 191, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
229 PM MDT MON JUL 5 1999

ATTM SFC COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CWA WITH LOW LVL
CLOUDINESS IN THE NW. THE FRONT SHUD CONT ITS VERY SLOW SOUTHEAST
MOVEMENT TONIGHT AND PUSH ACROSS ALL THE CWA BY MORNING. BEFORE IT
DOES HLC CURRENT TMP IS NEARING THE CENTURY MARK WITH DEW POINTS
NEAR 70 THIS AFTN. THE LATEST LAMP DATA HAS THE EASTERN FA WITH CAPES
APPROACHING 4000J AND FORECASTED LIS WERE MINUS SIX OVR THIS AREA.
7H/MIXR INCREASES TO NINE G/KG LATE THIS AFTN AND WITH THE CONT SLOW
ADVANCEMENT OF THE FRONT TSRA SHUD DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTN WITH
THE BETTER CHANCES OVR THE E/S FA INTO TONIGHT.

THE NGM DIDNT PERFORM VERY WELL YESTERDAY AND WILL LEAN TOWARD THE
ETA/AVN SOLN ALTHOUGH THE AVN MIGHT BE SOMEWHAT HI ON THE MOISTR
AT THE MOMENT.

THE LATEST RUC SHOWED MID LVL MOISTR OVR THE E/S CWA WITH A 5H/VORT
TROUGH OVR THIS SAME AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT. TSCTS ACROS
GLD SHOW GOOD OMEGA VALUES AROUND 06Z AND THE THE QPF GRAPHIC SHOWS
BETTER THAN HALF AN INCH OVR THE E FA. SLIGHTLY LOWER AMOUNTS WERE
ACROS PORTIONS OF THE CWA MAINLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT
THEREFORE WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF POPS IN THE FORECAST TONIGHT. IN
ADDITION...COOLR TMPS SHUD PREVAIL TONIGHT AS THE FRONT EDGES SOUTH
OF THE CWA BY MORNING WITH SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING. THE CLOUDS
SHUD LINGER DURING THE MORNINGS HOURS TUESDAY BEFORE THE FRONT BEGINS
ITS RETREAT NORTWARD BY AFTN. THE AVN KEEPS THE FA IN QUITE A BIT OF
MID LVL MOISTR DURING THE DAY AND IF THIS IS THE CASE AFTN TMPS SHUD
REMAIN MUCH COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. BUT AS SFC WINDS VEER MORE
FROM THE SE BY TUE AFTERNOON AND THE FRONT PUSHES NORTHWARD AWAY FROM
THE CWA...THE FA SHUD SEE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES BY AFTN.

THE EXTENDED HAS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVG INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
BY MIDWEEK AND EXPECT AFTN TEMPS WED TO RISE INTO THE 90S ONCE
AGAIN. BUT STILL A VORT LOBE REMAINS OVR SE COLORADO THEREFORE WILL
KEEP THE MENTION OF POPS. A DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE CWA
AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE THURSDAY AND AFTN TMPS MAY BE A COUPLE OF
DEGREES COOLR. THE DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SHUD MOVE
ACROS THE FA FRIDAY WITH COOLR AFTN TMPS AS A SFC HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND A 5H/RIDGE ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE TRI-STATE AREA THRU THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND.

.GLD...NONE.

VPAPOL

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
348 PM MDT MON JUL 05 1999

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0320 PM    13 ENE LEOTI              KS    .75 INCH HAIL
07/05/99   WICHITA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
348 PM MDT MON JUL 05 1999

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0320 PM    13 ENE LEOTI              KS    .75 INCH HAIL
07/05/99   WICHITA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
419 PM MDT MON JUL 05 1999

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0419 PM    LEOTI                     KS    .88 INCH HAIL
07/05/99   WICHITA

SVEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
419 PM MDT MON JUL 05 1999

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0419 PM    LEOTI                     KS    .88 INCH HAIL
07/05/99   WICHITA

SVEN