Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 253, NWS Grand Forks, ND

August 22, 1999Grand Forks County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 22, 1999, 6:23 PM CDT for Grand Forks County, North Dakota. It was in force for 32 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 22, 1999, 6:23 PM CDT (23:23 UTC)
Expired
Aug 22, 1999, 6:55 PM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Whole counties

County Grand Forks County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 22, 6:39 PM CDTHail 0.75Larimore, ND
Aug 22, 7:05 PM CDTThunderstorm Wind 58Grand Forks Afb, ND
Aug 22, 7:05 PM CDTHail 0.75Grand Forks Afb, ND

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 22, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 344 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 1999-08-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 437 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 1999-08-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
437 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-112 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1158 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

The text of this product is not in the archive. The NWS text archive before 2002 is incomplete.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 22, 3:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 22, 3:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
330 PM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999

SHORT WV OVR SASK FCST TO MOV INTO LONG WAVE TROF OVR GRTLKS AND OH
VLY. WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWING UPR LOW/CD POOL OVR S CNTRL SASK. ETA AND
NGM QUITE SIMILAR IN MOVG VORT MAX TO NW IL BY 48 HRS. H7 AND H8 UPR
AIR FLOW FEATURES ALSO SIMILAR. HOWEVER H8 WAA FM THE NGM SEEMS OVER
DONE WHILE ETA H8 THERMAL FIELD ORIENTATION MORE E-W. WL COMPROMISE
WITH A TONED DOWN NGM. THINK MOST ACTIVE WX TNGT WILL OCCUR OVR SW
2/3 OF CWFA IN LFQ OF JET AND NR VORT MAX. MOST STABLE AIR MOVS FM
SW CAN INTO SD TNGT AND INTO KS AND MO BY 12Z TUE. BIS MORN SNDG HAS
COOLED A LITTLE ABV H7 AND WARMED BLO OVNGT. 88D SHOWING WAA PRECIP
OVR NRN RED RVR VLY MOVG E. PRECIP IS ALSO IN A H7 TROF. AREA 88D
VAD WNDS HAVE CAA PROFILE AT KGGW, NUETRAL AT KMBX, AND WAA AT KBIS.
CLDS AND SOME SHWRS ARE XPCD TO REMAIN ON MON WITH CD POOL ALF AND
WRAP ARND TO AFFECT THE AREA. WINDIER MONDAY UNDER N FLOW. COOR WITH
ABR.

.EXTENDED...
NEW AVN/CANADIAN CONTINUE TREND TO FILL AND LIFT CUTOFF LOW MOISTURE
AND ENERGY OUT OF THE PACNW AND THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. MODEL INCONSISTENCY LEAVES SOME DOUBT AS TO TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF SHTWVS AS 12Z RUNS HAVE DELAYED DAY2 WAVE BY 12HRS ADDING A
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLD TSTMS ALG THE CANADIAN BORDER LATE TUES. SHORT
RANGE MODELS ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE ON SECOND WAVE PULLING OUT OF ERN OR
AT 48HRS...LEAVING MRF TIMING SUSPECT. HOWEVER...WILL STICK WITH DRY
PERIOD DAY3 FOLLOWED BY CHC TSTMS DAY4 AS PER PREVIOUS PACKAGE. ECMWF
ALSO AGREES WITH AVN/CANADIAN IN SHIFTING ENERGY FROM FIRST WAVE INTO
SECOND...WITH WAVE TIMING EARLIER ON DAY4. ECMWF ALSO LESS AMPLIFIED
THAN MRF BY DAY5. SYNOPTICS AND TRENDS WOULD SUGGEST THAT COLD PUSH
FOLLOWING SECOND WAVE WOULD LEAD TO COOLER TEMPS AND SHOWERS DAY5 FOR
MUCH OF CWFA.

.FGF...NONE.
HOPPES/GUST

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 22, 3:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-222330-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
345 PM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SYNOPSIS...A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON PUSHING A COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
IN PLACE OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. AS THE FRONT
MOVES CLOSER...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THEY MOVE INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

AREA OF CONCERN...EXTREME NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON. ALL OF
EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

TIME...345 PM TO MIDNIGHT.

TYPE OF HAZARD...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

GUST
Special weather statement, Aug 22, 3:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-222330-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
345 PM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SYNOPSIS...A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON PUSHING A COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
IN PLACE OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. AS THE FRONT
MOVES CLOSER...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THEY MOVE INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

AREA OF CONCERN...EXTREME NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON. ALL OF
EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

TIME...345 PM TO MIDNIGHT.

TYPE OF HAZARD...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

GUST

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes34 min
Aug 22, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFEddy31 min
Aug 22, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes32 min
Aug 22, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGriggs, Steele35 min
Aug 22, 6:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes31 min
Aug 22, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFSteele32 min
Aug 22, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFSteele15 min
Aug 22, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.