Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 1999

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS El Paso, TX

July 5, 1999Otero County, New Mexico

NWS El Paso, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 5, 1999, 4:38 PM MDT for Otero County, New Mexico. It was in force for 97 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 1999, 4:38 PM MDT (22:38 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 1999, 6:15 PM MDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX
Area
Whole counties

County Otero County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 1999-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 293 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 1999-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -9 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
293 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1492 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KEPZ 052251 COR
FFWELP
NMC035-060015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING...CORECTED TO OMIT 'IN EL PASO'
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
438 PM MDT MON JUL 5 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL OTERO COUNTY IN NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 615 PM MDT

* AT 434 PM MDT...TULAROSA SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTS SIGNIFICANT  
FLOODING ON AREA ROADS INCLUDING HIGHWAY 54/70 BETWEEN TULAROSA AND 
ALAMOROSA.  TRAFFIC IS BEING STOPPED BY POLICE IN THIS AREA.

WHILE RAINFALL HAS STOPPED FLASH FLOOD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS WATER FROM PREVIOUS RAINS DRAIN FROM THE
MOUNTAINS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.  
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN 
DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT 
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3301 10615 3288 10599 3305 10576 3320 10590

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 5, 1:00 PM MDT, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 1:00 PM MDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
100 PM MDT MON JUL 5 1999

SYNOPSIS...
A CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. DAYTIME
HEATING WILL COMBINE WITH THE AIRMASS IN PLACE FOR MORE AFTERNOON
AND NIGHTTIME THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BORDERLAND. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT OR SOMEWHAT BELOW NORMAL.

DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWING SOME GOOD TSRA FIRING OVER COUNTIES JUST
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA (FA) IN AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE LEFT OVER
FROM LAST NIGHTS ACTIVITY AS DEPICTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MUCH
LIKE YESTERDAY...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP REMAINS OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO INTO NEW MEXICO/PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS.

12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWING UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER EAST-CENTRAL
US WITH HIGH PROGGED TO BUILD FURTHER WESTWARD TODAY. TEMPS QUITE
WARM ALOFT (-6C AT 500MB) AND EXPECT THEM TO RISE ANOTHER DEGREE OR
2 THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE ATMOSPHERE IS ABOUT AS MOIST BUT A BIT MORE
UNSTABLE THAN YESTERDAY...EXPECT HIGHER MID LEVEL TEMPS TO KEEP
ACTIVITY LIMITED TO MAINLY WIDELY SCATTERED LATER TODAY/TONIGHT EXCEPT
OVER AREA MOUNTAINS WHERE SCATTERED WILL BE THE RULE.

EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW TO CONTINUE OVER THE FA...SURFACE AND
ALOFT...THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS UPPER HIGH SLOWLY MIGRATES INTO
COLORADO WITH MOISTURE TAP SLOWLY PUSHING WESTWARD. WITH LACK OF ANY
WELL DEFINED VORTMAXES NOR ANY GOOD 700MB OMEGA...WILL BROADBRUSH A
LOW GRADE MONSOON PATTERN WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL HIGHLIGHTED IN
FIRST PERIOD.

EXTENDED PROGS INDICATING UPPER HIGH TO REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF
THE 4-CORNERS REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. WILL
CONTINUE ON SAME EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK.

EL PASO               BB  71/ 92/ 70/ 92/ 70  21212
LAS CRUCES            BB  66/ 90/ 65/ 90/ 65  21212
ALAMOGORDO            BB  68/ 91/ 67/ 91/ 67  22222
CLOUDCROFT            BB  45/ 65/ 45/ 65/ 45  34343
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES BB  69/ 88/ 68/ 88/ 68  32323
SILVER CITY           BB  59/ 81/ 58/ 81/ 58  32323
DEMING                BB  68/ 90/ 67/ 90/ 67  21212
LORDSBURG             BB  68/ 93/ 67/ 93/ 67  21212

07  REYNOLDS

N

The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 3:13 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningEPZOtero92 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 1999Every flash flood warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.