Severe Thunderstorm Warning 161, NWS State College, PA

CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
325 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 1999

LINES OF SCATTERED TSRA NOW FORMING BACK IN W PA AND OHIO. WILL
PROBABLY SEE SOME ACTIVITY FIRE AND COME INTO WEST PA THIS EVENING
THEN WEAKEN BEFORE REACHING CENTRAL PA. MOST MODELS INITIALIZED TOO
WET...BUT LAST FEW RUNS OF MM5 HAVE BEEN CLOSER TO REALITY. WILL
LOWER POPS FOR TONIGHT TO CHC AND WORD AS MAINLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS.

SATURDAY WILL FEATURE MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP AS SW TROF AXIS AND
VORT MOVE THRU...WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING PLENTY OF DEEP
MOISTURE AND INSTABILTY TO BE TAPPED. WIND PROFILES ALSO SUGGEST SVR
POTENTIAL. WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS ALL ZONES. HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIAL
FOR SVR WILL MAKE FOR AN INTERESTING DAY.

MOST SIG PRECIP SHUD BE EAST OF CTP CWA BY SAT EVE...WITH SHRA
LINGERING THRU OVERNIGHT PERIOD IN EAST ZONES. THINGS DRY OUT FOR
SUN...WITH MODERATING TEMPS INTO MIDWEEK.

.CTP...NONE.

OSTUNO/ SCALIO

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