Flash Flood Warning 60, NWS State College, PA

CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
856 PM EDT THU SEP 9 1999

I HAVE DECIDED...AT THE LAST MINUTE...TO UP POPS IN THE MID-UPR
SUSQ...WHICH MESHES WITH BGM THINKING FROM THEIR ADM.

BUSY EVENING IN CENTRAL PA. MINISUPERCELL MOVED THRU NW PA ERLIER
WHILE HVY RAINS FIRED UP IN THE LOER SUSQ. MEDIA REPORTS OF 2 INCHES
IN 20 MINUTES IN WESTERN LANCASTER COUNTY A COUPLE HOURS AGO. RADAR
LOOP SHOWING THUNDER HAS DIMINISHED WITH STEADY...BUT LESS
HEAVY...STRATIFORM RAIN CONTINUING.

WEST ZONES WILL DRY AND CLEAR OUT OVERNIGHT WITH MAIN CONCERN BEING
FAR EASTERN ZONES. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE DEEP MOIST ATM IN SE PA
OVERNIGHT. THIS...COMBINED WITH LIFT PROVIDED BY UPR LVL JET MAX
SWINGING THRU...SHUD KEEP THE WET MACHINE GOING INTO 12Z FRI FOR MY
SE ZONES. QUESTION IS HOW FAR NORTH THE STEADY RAIN MAKES IT. LATEST
REGIONAL RADAR LOOP SHOWING A GOOD BATCH OF RAIN CROSSING MD-PA LINE
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL PA...WITH SHOWERS FILLING IN ON AN AXIS
STRETCHING UP TO UNV. THIS AREA WILL MOVE EAST INTO MID/UPR SUSQ IN
THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS...THEREFORE THE CHANGE NOTED ABOVE.

EAST ZONES DRY OUT BY NOON FRI. COOLER MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER OVER THE
WEEKEND. THE FLOYD FLOOD NEXT WEEK?? THIS IS TURNING IN TO ONE OF
THE WETTER DROUGHTS WEVE HAD IN A WHILE.

.CTP...NONE.

OSTUNO