Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS State College, PA

CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
230 PM EST SAT JAN 23 1999

...QPS...KEPTED FAIRLY CLOSE TO WHAT WE HAD EARLIER...USE
1238 PM VERSION...NOT 1228 PM VERSION...AS 1228 PM WAS SENT
BY MISTAKE...

...WORK ZONES BY 3 PM...

...ZONES BY 345 PM...

...CHANGES...

WILL KEEP FCST CLOSE TO WHAT WE HAVE OUT NOW.

FOR MONDAY INTO THU...MAINLY DRY WX...CHC OF A SHOWER/SNOW
SHOWER HERE AND THERE.

...DISC...

WARM AIR JUST ENTERING OUR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MOST PART OF OUR
CWA.  BAND OF SHOWERS OVER EASTERN OHIO...LIKELY TO HOLD TOGETHER
...AS W PA IN WARM SECTOR.  TROPICAL AIR TRYING TO MOVE INTO
EXTREME S PORTION OF LOWER SUSQ VLY.  FEED OF MOISTURE NOW IN
PLACE FROM THE SE ATLANTIC.  EXPECT THAT HEAVIEST RAIN WILL
BE OVER EXTREME NW AREA...GIVEN BETTER DYNAMICS...AND ACROSS
SE PA...GIVEN FEED OFF SE ATLANTIC.  MOST OF THE RAIN WILL
BE BETWEEN 00Z AND 12Z.

FOR SEVERE WX...WE ARE NOT OUTLOOK...NOR DO WE GET INTO THE
BETTER DYNAMICS...AS SYSTEM SHEARS OUT.  AN ISOLATED STORM
COULD OCCUR EARLY ON THIS EVENING...BUT SHOULD NOT DO MUCH.

FOR WIND...ISOLATED GUSTS LIKELY EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS
W SECTION...WILL KEEP WINDS UP IN ZONES.  SHOULD BE UNDER
ADVISORY LEVELS.

FOR RAIN...WILL KEEP FLOOD WATCH UP...QPS LIKELY TO RANGE FROM
1.0 TO 1.5.  LEVELS WILL COME CLOSE...GIVEN RAIN AND SNOW MELT.

GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH DEWPOINTS WILL EAT AWAY AT A LOT OF SNOW.

WILL HANDLE FOG AS PATCHY...LOOKS LIKE IT IS ON ITS WAY OUT.

.CTP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ENTIRE FA FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

MARTIN