Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 7, 1999Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 7, 1999, 7:55 PM EDT for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 60 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 1999, 7:55 PM EDT (23:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 1999, 8:55 PM EDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Whole counties

County Jefferson County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 7, 8:40 PM EDTThunderstorm WindAdams, NY

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 1999-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 1999-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 62 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1248 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KBUF 072357 COR
SVRBUF
NYC045-080055-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED FOR DATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
755 PM EDT WED JUL 7 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK

* UNTIL 855 PM EDT

* AT 745 PM ...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM TRENTON ONTARIO TO 5 MILES WEST
  OF CLAYTON NEW YORK....MOVING EAST AT 45 TO 50 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CLAYTON AT 750 PM
  WATERTOWN BETWEEN 800 AND 815 PM

IF YOU ARE IN THESE AREAS...GET INSIDE. THESE STORMS HAVE
DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES` WITH WINDS GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH AS THEY CROSSED THROUGH CANADA.

TAN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 7, 3:08 PM EDT, 4 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 3:08 PM EDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
308 PM EDT WED JUL 7 1999   ...UPDATED FOR SCA NRSHORES ON LAKES...

VERY PLEASANT DAY IN PROGRESS ACROSS ENTIRE FCST AREA WITH DEW PTS
DOWN IN 50S AND TEMPS CLOSE TO 80 WITH A FRESH WESTERLY BREEZE. LAKE
SHADOWS EVIDENT ON VIS SATELLITE ON A 270 VECTOR WHICH FAVORS OSW CO
AND CHAUT/SRN ERIE COS. NARROW RIBBON OF CONVERGENCE CLOUD ACROSS
NIAG PEN INTO NRN SUBS OF BUF AND ON ACROSS GEN CO. SHWRS/TSTMS ASSOC
WITH STRONG VORT OVR CNTRL ONT WITH CU ENHANCING N OF LK ONT BUT
NOTHING ON TYX RADAR AS OF YET. THIS VORT SWINGS SE ACROSS NORTHERN
NY THIS EVE AND MAY YET TRIGGER A SHWR OR TWO...WLL LEAVE IN MENTION
OF 30 POP JEFF/LEW ONLY FOR EVE...OTHERWISE MAINLY CLEAR AFTER LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING...P/CY E OF LK ONT CLOSER TO VORT.

THURS LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER WINNER. WINDS A TAD LESS...700-850 TEMPS
IDENTICAL TO TODAY...SO TEMPS WLL BE TOO...NR 80...A FEW DEG COOLER
DOWNWIND OF LAKES.

NEXT SYSTEM OF CONCERN IS DEVELOPING WARM FRONT THURS NT INTO FRI.
ETA MOST AGGRESSIVE IN SHOWING VERY STRONG WARM ADVECTION MOVING INTO
WRN COUNTIES AFTER MDNT WITH 12Z FRI 850 TEMPS FROM +9 AT ART TO +17
AT BUF. GOOD 40-50 KT LL JET SETS UP ACROSS LOWER LAKES BY 12Z FRI AS
WELL. MOST FAVORABLE AREA WOULD BE TO OUR NORTH IN ONTARIO AND MOS
AND FAN POPS VERY LOW FOR THURS NT...BUT WEE HOURS ARE PRIME FOR
DEVELOPMENT OVR NEAR TROPICAL WATERS OF ERN LK ERIE...SO PUTTING THIS
ALL TOGETHER...WLL GO LIKELY POPS FOR BUF-IAG AFTER MDNT AND SCATD
FOR REST OF AREAS FROM ROC AREA WESTWARD TWD MORNING.

FRI WILL BE AN UNSETTLED DAY BUT BEST DYNAMICS AND WIND FIELDS SKIRT
REGION TO THE NORTH OVR SRN ONTARIO AND LK ONTARIO. WLL COVER WITH
WINDY AND HUMID WITH SCATD SHWRS/TSTMS WEST...AND LIKELY E OF LK
ONTARIO. LK ERIE WLL STABILIZE AFTERNOON BUF-ROC AREA SO WLL KEEP
POPS IN CHC RANGE. SRN TIER ALSO CHC AS THEY WILL BE FURTHER FROM
DYNAMICS.

FURTHER AHEAD...NEXT S/W/FROPA LATER FRI NT AND SAT AM...LOOKS LIKE
AN UNSETTLED START SAT THEN IMPROVEMENT...FINE SUNDAY. LOOKS LIKE WE
ARE INTO A FAST SEMI-CYCLONIC FLOW NEXT WEEK WHICH WLL LEAD TO BREEZY
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL WX WITH ONLY SCTD ACTIVITY FROM TIME TO
TIME. THE A/CS WILL GET A BIT OF A REST.

THATS IT FROM THE SUNNY BUF. WRKZONES BY 305. ON STREET BY 330.
TAKE IT EASY.

.BUF...SCA NRSHORES LKS ERIE AND ONT AND UPR NIAG RIV/BUF HRBR.

MCLAUGHLIN

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New York, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.