Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Burlington, VT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EST MON MAR 22 1999

COORD ALY.

LOW PRES CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WHILE LIFTING RAPIDLY TO NORTH.
CENTER IS ALREADY NW OF YUL.  COLD AIR WRAPPING ARND LOW FROM SW HAS
RESULTED IN CHANGEOVER TO SNOW ACRS MOST OF FA.  EXCEPTION IS NE
KINGDOM WHERE THE CHNG WL OCCUR SHORTLY AS OCCLUSION SWEEPS THRU.
WATER LEVELS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS CONTINUE TO RISE DUE SNOWMELT
AND RUNOFF...WITH MOST SGFNT RISES IN SC VT AND IN NE NY.  MAJOR
RIVERS ARE STILL WITHIN THEIR BANKS...BUT THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS
OF SMALLER TRIBUTARIES NEAR BANKFULL.  ALSO LOTS OF PONDING ON
ROADWAY AND SOME FLOODED BASEMENTS.

KTYX/KCXX INDICATE STEADY PCPN STILL FALLING OVR NRN NY AND A GOOD
PORTION OF VT...AND BUFCAN SHOWING MORE PCPN UPSTREAM OVR
WRN NY ASSOCD WITH UPR LOW.  AS THIS FEATURE LIFTS NORTH TONITE...
XPC SOME SNOW OR SNOW SHWRS ALL OF NRN ZONES...TAPERING EARLY TO
SCT SNOW SHWRS SRN VT.  WL KEEP WARNING GOING FOR ADRNDKS AND
ADVISORY FOR ST LWR VLY.  XPC ANOTHER 2-5 INCHES OF SNOW THIS
RGN TONITE...BRINGING TOTALS OVR A FOOT IN PARTS OF ADRNDKS AND UP
TO 6 INCHES IN ST LWR VLY.  SNOW AMTS IN VT HAVE BEEN MINIMAL SO
FAR...AND MODELS INDICATING AMTS TONITE FROM CHMPLN VLY EASTWARD
ACRS VT WL BE LITE.  NO ADVISORIES NEEDED...BUT AMTS OF 1-3 NMCHES
PSBL...ESP OVR HIR TRRN.

WX PICTURE BEGINS TO CALM DOWN ON TUES AS LOW CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTH ACRS ERN CANADA.  GUSTY SW WNDS WL BEGIN TO ABATE.  STILL XPC
M/CLDY SKIES WITH SOME FLRYS.  MENTION OF POPS WL BE RESTRICTED
TO ADRNDKS.

NEXT SHRTWV AND ASSOCD SFC TROF MOV THRU WED PM/NITE.  MODELS
INDICATE DEEP MSTR RMNS SOUTH OF FA.  FOR NOW WL GO WITH A CHC OF
LITE SNOW/RAIN.

FWC TEMPS GENERALLY ACCEPTED TON THRU TUE NITE.  COOLER FAN TEMPS
PREFERRED FOR WED.

.BTV...WINTER STORM WARNING THRU THIS EVENING NYZ029-030-031-034
       WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THRU THIS EVENING NYZ026-027

RJS