Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Binghamton, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
310 AM EDT SUN JUL 4 1999

CURRENT KBGM RADAR SHOWING MCS CLIPPING THE EXTREME N ZONES OF THE CWA.
A FEW OTHER STORMS AROUND THE NY/PA BORDER. BACK EDGE OF THE MCS IS
LOCATED ALONG THE FAR SHORE OF LO ATTM. WILL MENTION SCT SHRA/TSRA
ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA TODAY. THIS WILL COVER LINGERING PRECIP THIS
MORNING AS WELL AS MORE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFT. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF
LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES AROUND TODAY PLUS THE ETA AND NGM MODELS SHOW A S/W
OVER PA/SE NY THIS AFT. THE MODELS DIFFER IN STRENGTH REGARDING THE
SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS IN NW FLOW WITH THE ETA STRONGEST AND THE AVN
WEAKEST.

ANOTHER S/W N OF LO THIS EVENING WILL MOVE ACROSS C NY TONIGHT. THE ETA
IS DRY MUCH OF TONIGHT WHILE THE NGM SHOWS MORE IN THE WAY OF PRECIP
WITH THE S/W. WILL LEAVE THE GOING CHC POPS BUT REMOVE MENTION OF
TIMING.

LOWER THETA E VALUES MONDAY AND THE RIDGE BUILDS IN. WILL CONTINUE THE
HOT AND DRY FORECAST.

.BGM...NONE.

SMF

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